Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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This cohort does not include historical position rows. The independent provider snapshot above shows separately available positions.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 335 | $0.090 | $30.15 | Aug 8, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 2K |
| $0.007 |
| $14 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 215 | $0.140 | $30.1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.04K | $0.035 | $36.37 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 546.03 | $0.037 | $20.2 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 45.29 | $0.040 | $1.81 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.71K | $0.045 | $481.88 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.140 | $252 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.35K | $0.070 | $374.57 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.36K | $0.070 | $374.99 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 727.51 | $0.365 | $265.59 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 261 | $0.366 | $95.53 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 271 | $0.368 | $99.69 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 4.46K | $0.367 | $1.64K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 7.33K | $0.368 | $2.7K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 1.59K | $0.369 | $585.88 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 3.52K | $0.347 | $1.22K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 163.24 | $0.344 | $56.2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 114.37 | $0.342 | $39.11 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 1.46K | $0.346 | $505.25 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 3.1K | $0.340 | $1.05K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 3.13K | $0.346 | $1.08K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 1.29K | $0.339 | $436.95 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.330 | $376.08 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 731.49 | $0.290 | $212.13 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | sell | 374.62 | $0.330 | $123.62 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.340 | $2.58 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?No | buy | 71 | $0.300 | $21.3 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 3.49K | $0.363 | $1.27K | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 15 | $0.670 | $10.05 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | sell | 89.8 | $0.680 | $61.06 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | sell | 602.67 | $0.680 | $409.82 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | sell | 208.52 | $0.680 | $141.79 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | sell | 167.26 | $0.680 | $113.74 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | sell | 9.25 | $0.810 | $7.49 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | sell | 806.17 | $0.810 | $653 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | sell | 2.72K | $0.810 | $2.2K | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | sell | 1.35K | $0.820 | $1.11K | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 393.5 | $0.720 | $283.32 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 2.63K | $0.958 | $2.52K | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.730 | $1.02K | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 4.15K | $0.600 | $2.49K | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 550 | $0.920 | $506 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 3K | $0.700 | $2.1K | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 979 | $0.920 | $900.68 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 576.35 | $0.690 | $397.68 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.880 | $932.15 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 761.2 | $0.160 | $121.79 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 2.2K | $0.060 | $132 | Apr 2, 2026 |