Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 7.67 | $0.391 | $6.71 | +$3.71 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.304 | $4 | May 12, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 11.71 |
| $0.427 |
| $5.84 |
| +$0.84 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 114.94 | $0.087 | $2.93 | -$7.07 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 11.9 | $0.084 | $2.18 | +$1.18 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Yes | 21.74 | $0.230 | $1.85 | -$3.15 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 78.13 | $0.128 | $1.45 | -$8.55 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.49 | $0.402 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 13.16 | $0.304 | $0.98 | -$3.02 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.52 | $0.221 | $0.76 | -$0.24 |
 Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | Yes | 31.25 | $0.160 | $0.52 | -$4.48 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.65 | $0.274 | $0.45 | -$0.55 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.250 | $0.44 | -$1.56 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 10.53 | $0.190 | $0.39 | -$1.61 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 8.77 | $0.114 | $0.34 | -$0.66 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.2 | -$0.8 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 2.25 | $0.445 | $0.13 | -$0.87 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.08 | -$0.92 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.020 |
| $1 |
| May 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.39 | $0.139 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 191.22 | $0.016 | $3 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.025 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.196 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.061 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.71 | $0.427 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 110.75 | $0.027 | $3 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.67 | $0.536 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 114.94 | $0.087 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 7.67 | $0.391 | $3 | May 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.445 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.114 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Georgia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 30.29 | $0.033 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Estonia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.062 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 3.5 | $0.420 | $1.47 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.500 | $0.96 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.52 | $0.221 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.49 | $0.402 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.084 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.65 | $0.274 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group ARED Canids | buy | 20.95 | $0.045 | $0.94 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 5.79 | $0.617 | $3.57 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 34.02 | $0.147 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |