Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3.45 | $0.290 | $0.84 | -$0.16 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes | buy | 80.26 | $0.333 | $26.74 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 5.56 |
| $0.180 |
| $0.41 |
| -$0.59 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.29 | -$0.71 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 2.08 | $0.480 | $0.18 | -$0.82 |
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes| sell |
| 13.33 |
| $0.730 |
| $9.73 |
| Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Artemis II launch by April 30?No | sell | 52.77 | $0.040 | $2.11 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by April 30?No | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by April 30?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5AM ETDown | buy | 28.49 | $0.510 | $14.53 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "No No No" this week? (March 22)No | buy | 27.06 | $0.370 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Women's Sports" this week? (March 22)No | buy | 17.41 | $0.287 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Drone" this week? (March 22)No | buy | 19.72 | $0.254 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETDown | buy | 8.23 | $0.239 | $1.97 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 37.37 | $0.134 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETDown | buy | 9.69 | $0.500 | $4.84 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 579.49 | $0.045 | $25.99 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | sell | 3.96 | $0.231 | $0.91 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 3.93 | $0.250 | $0.98 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETUp | sell | 30.13 | $0.050 | $1.51 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETUp | buy | 10.06 | $0.099 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETUp | buy | 19.97 | $0.149 | $2.98 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETUp | buy | 19.77 | $0.490 | $9.69 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 12.08 | $0.414 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 42.29 | $0.047 | $2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Autopen" this week? (March 15)No | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Gentner Drummond replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Radical Left" this week? (March 15)No | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Rigged" or "Stolen" this week? (March 15)No | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (March 15)No | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (March 15)No | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hat" this week? (March 15)No | buy | 19.91 | $0.502 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hat" this week? (March 15)No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hat" this week? (March 15)No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETUp | buy | 13.01 | $0.499 | $6.49 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 5.13 | $0.379 | $1.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETUp | buy | 10.53 | $0.460 | $4.85 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETDown | buy | 6.61 | $0.150 | $0.99 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETDown | buy | 6.23 | $0.159 | $0.99 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETUp | buy | 24.98 | $0.040 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETUp | buy | 24.98 | $0.040 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 203.91 | $0.049 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |