Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 370.57 | $0.880 | $356.3 | +$30.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | sell | 72.78 | $0.959 | $69.81 | Jun 4, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 77.92 |
| $0.770 |
| $68.18 |
| +$8.18 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | No | 51.95 | $0.770 | $48.05 | +$8.05 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 42.55 | $0.470 | $19.79 | -$0.21 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 78.79 | $0.389 | $15.36 | -$15.27 |
| sell |
| 92.06 |
| $0.998 |
| $91.88 |
| Jun 4, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 78.79 | $0.389 | $30.63 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 370.57 | $0.880 | $326.1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 72.79 | $0.824 | $60 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 92.06 | $0.869 | $80 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by January 9?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionYes | buy | 45.45 | $0.880 | $40 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionYes | buy | 64.52 | $0.620 | $40 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 88.89 | $0.450 | $40 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes | buy | 33.9 | $0.590 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 77.92 | $0.770 | $60 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | buy | 51.95 | $0.770 | $40 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) Up or Down After Earnings?Up | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 59.52 | $0.840 | $50 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Grokipedia released by October 31?No | buy | 59.73 | $0.544 | $32.52 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | sell | 34.48 | $0.778 | $26.81 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?No | sell | 62.5 | $0.090 | $5.63 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 144.44 | $0.747 | $107.89 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionNo | buy | 252.42 | $0.238 | $60 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Yes | sell | 10.08 | $0.153 | $1.54 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No | sell | 27.02 | $0.910 | $24.59 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | sell | 49.38 | $0.939 | $46.37 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | sell | 104.83 | $0.910 | $95.4 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 88.08 | $0.730 | $64.3 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.09 | $0.579 | $5.84 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.029 | $2.9 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.037 | $45.88 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?No | sell | 143.85 | $0.177 | $25.45 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Joe Biden make an appearance by September 15?No | buy | 98.69 | $0.608 | $60 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 104.84 | $0.620 | $65 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Trump" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | sell | 363.63 | $0.036 | $13.09 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| US government shutdown in 2025?No | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.450 | $50 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?No | buy | 143.86 | $0.139 | $20 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 87.72 | $0.570 | $50 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Trump" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 78.57 | $0.064 | $5 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Tariffs" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 90.83 | $0.055 | $5 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "India" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "China" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 26.84 | $0.186 | $5 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Camera" 5+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?No | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "iPhone" 100+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?No | buy | 154.74 | $0.129 | $20 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 49.38 | $0.810 | $40 | Sep 7, 2025 |