Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.59K | $0.830 | $2.15K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.17K |
| $0.997 |
| $2.17K |
| Feb 2, 2026 |
 Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?No | buy | 868.78 | $0.984 | $854.78 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?No | buy | 158.3 | $0.968 | $153.3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.960 | $1.2K | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?No | buy | 2.42K | $0.999 | $2.42K | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?No | buy | 176 | $0.849 | $149.47 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?No | buy | 290.89 | $0.850 | $247.17 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?No | buy | 54.98 | $0.976 | $53.68 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Michael Flynn be next National Security Advisor?No | buy | 128.58 | $0.946 | $121.62 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Steve Witkoff be next National Security Advisor?No | buy | 11.31 | $0.834 | $9.43 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 534.99 | $0.081 | $43.6 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?Yes | buy | 136.48 | $0.992 | $135.39 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 30.01 | $0.047 | $1.41 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 497.91 | $0.060 | $29.97 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.100 | $2.5 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.240 | $192 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.066 | $1.65 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 5.34K | $0.993 | $5.3K | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Lisa Murkowski vote for the next reconciliation bill?Yes | buy | 1.62K | $0.998 | $1.62K | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Ron Johnson vote for the next reconciliation bill?No | buy | 33 | $0.030 | $0.99 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 55 | $0.630 | $34.65 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 11 | $0.630 | $6.93 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Fetterman out in 2025?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.190 | $1.14 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Yes | sell | 1.43K | $0.007 | $10.02 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.14K | $0.261 | $299.05 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.32K | $0.176 | $582.13 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30?Yes | sell | 632.94 | $0.056 | $35.44 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?No | sell | 1.45K | $0.992 | $1.44K | Jun 16, 2025 |
 FDA approves Merck’s clesrovimab infant RSV prevention (MK‑1654)?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.998 | $2.22K | Jun 9, 2025 |
| FDA approves Merck’s clesrovimab infant RSV prevention (MK‑1654)?Yes | buy | 3.05K | $0.997 | $3.04K | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?No | buy | 196 | $0.995 | $195.02 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will the Senate confirm Ed Martin before July?No | buy | 1K | $0.996 | $996 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?Simion | sell | 999 | $0.998 | $997 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will the Senate confirm Ed Martin before July?No | buy | 2K | $0.996 | $1.99K | May 21, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?No | buy | 450 | $0.460 | $207 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31?Yes | buy | 409.07 | $0.410 | $167.78 | May 19, 2025 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.32K | $0.190 | $250.61 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?No | sell | 5.55K | $0.014 | $77.66 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No | buy | 421 | $0.927 | $390.17 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No | buy | 136.82 | $0.814 | $111.34 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No | buy | 168.44 | $0.587 | $98.84 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No | buy | 269.8 | $0.577 | $155.66 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes | buy | 378.02 | $0.866 | $327.29 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes | buy | 671.12 | $0.685 | $459.84 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?Yes | buy | 363.84 | $0.150 | $54.56 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?No | sell | 100 | $0.004 | $0.4 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?No | sell | 4.37K | $0.002 | $7.67 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?No | sell | 2.14K | $0.010 | $21.37 | May 16, 2025 |
 Debt ceiling raised or suspended before June?No | buy | 2.75K | $0.986 | $2.71K | May 16, 2025 |