Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.780 | $37.77 | +$7.77 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 15.9 | $0.730 | $11.61 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 37.04 |
| $0.810 |
| $35.91 |
| +$5.91 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 39.68 | $0.630 | $34.33 | +$9.33 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 34.88 | $0.860 | $33.7 | +$3.7 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 66.98 | $0.388 | $33.66 | +$7.66 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 21.43 | $0.840 | $19.71 | +$1.71 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 112.36 | $0.267 | $16.24 | -$13.76 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 22.23 | $0.450 | $11.67 | +$1.67 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 11.81 | $0.847 | $11.61 | +$1.61 |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | Yes | 10.53 | $0.570 | $9.41 | +$3.41 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 13.61 | $0.735 | $7.3 | -$2.7 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 250 | $0.020 | $4.88 | -$0.13 |
 Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | Yes | 7.46 | $0.670 | $3.92 | -$1.08 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10.7 | $0.187 | $2.6 | +$0.6 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 53.57 | $0.280 | $1.15 | -$13.85 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 12.35 | $0.162 | $0.88 | -$1.12 |
| sell |
| 13.33 |
| $0.860 |
| $11.46 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 24.39 | $0.900 | $21.95 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsFURIA | sell | 1.96 | $0.440 | $0.86 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 WinnerFURIA | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsFURIA | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs9z | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 33.9 | $0.590 | $20 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3FURIA | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 12.73 | $0.265 | $3.37 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 13.61 | $0.735 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 11.81 | $0.847 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 53.57 | $0.280 | $15 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.800 | $26.66 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.957 | $17.71 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.876 | $11.83 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 11.36 | $0.926 | $10.52 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes | sell | 20.54 | $0.991 | $20.36 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.810 | $15 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.630 | $3 | May 29, 2026 |
 US x China tariff agreement by May 31?No | sell | 6.15 | $0.930 | $5.72 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 17.44 | $0.988 | $17.23 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.050 | $0.2 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 21.43 | $0.840 | $18 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 18.2 | $0.824 | $15 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 18.2 | $0.824 | $15 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | May 24, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 3.94 | $0.762 | $3 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Valve remove Ancient from the Map Pool?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.621 | $6.9 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 61.45 | $0.745 | $45.78 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Renovation" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Jerome" or "Powell" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?Yes | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Pool" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Inflation" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.162 | $2 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10.7 | $0.187 | $2 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 12.73 | $0.230 | $2.93 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |