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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? | No | 38 | $0.940 | $37.11 | +$1.39 |
 Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.978 | $7.82 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 2 |
| $0.063 |
| $0.05 |
| -$0.08 |
 Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.090 | $0 | -$0.45 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.730 |
| $14.6 |
| Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | sell | 68.54 | $0.481 | $32.97 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?No | sell | 81 | $0.800 | $64.8 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 123.87 | $0.800 | $99.1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 81.13 | $0.800 | $64.9 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 205 | $0.820 | $168.1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?No | buy | 81 | $0.760 | $61.56 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?No | sell | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?No | sell | 64 | $0.370 | $23.68 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 30% by March 31?No | sell | 160 | $0.830 | $132.8 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?No | sell | 83 | $0.350 | $29.05 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 56 | $0.820 | $45.92 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 61 | $0.820 | $50.02 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | sell | 44 | $0.570 | $25.08 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?No | buy | 157 | $0.490 | $76.93 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.570 | $25.08 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 83 | $0.690 | $57.27 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 GPT ads by March 31?No | sell | 161 | $0.700 | $112.7 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| GPT ads by March 31?No | buy | 161 | $0.710 | $114.31 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 83 | $0.750 | $62.25 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.140 | $2.94 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 28 | $0.130 | $3.64 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No | sell | 84 | $0.810 | $68.04 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Drug" or "Gang" 7+ times during the announcement on December 22?No | buy | 103 | $0.550 | $56.65 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | sell | 120 | $0.870 | $104.4 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.880 | $105.6 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Lee Byung-hun be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 53 | $0.860 | $45.58 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Lee Byung-hun be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 44 | $0.870 | $38.28 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Lee Byung-hun be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 97 | $0.890 | $86.33 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Gemini win the okbet trading competition?No | sell | 109 | $0.870 | $94.83 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 30% by March 31?No | buy | 160 | $0.840 | $134.4 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will ENA: Dream BBQ win Outstanding Visual Style at the 2025 Steam Awards?No | sell | 81 | $0.570 | $46.17 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Gemini win the okbet trading competition?No | buy | 109 | $0.870 | $94.83 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Cornyn flip Paxton for Texas Rep Senate Primary Winner by Jan 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.630 | $25.2 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will ENA: Dream BBQ win Outstanding Visual Style at the 2025 Steam Awards?No | buy | 81 | $0.620 | $50.22 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.230 | $11.27 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Cornyn flip Paxton for Texas Rep Senate Primary Winner by Jan 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.590 | $23.6 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No | sell | 220 | $0.760 | $167.2 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No | buy | 220 | $0.790 | $173.8 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 141 | $0.500 | $70.5 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?No | sell | 267 | $0.290 | $77.43 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No | buy | 84 | $0.770 | $64.68 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?No | sell | 22 | $0.730 | $16.06 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?No | sell | 80 | $0.340 | $27.2 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?No | sell | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?No | buy | 90 | $0.350 | $31.5 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?No | buy | 250 | $0.360 | $90 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?No | buy | 17 | $0.360 | $6.12 | Dec 20, 2025 |