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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes | buy | 1.93K | $0.440 | $847.63 | Jun 3, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 10.63K |
| $0.094 |
| $1K |
| Jun 3, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Yes | buy | 8.21K | $0.122 | $1K | Jun 3, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?Yes | buy | 5.5K | $0.182 | $1K | Jun 3, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Yes | buy | 3.45K | $0.290 | $1K | Jun 3, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 138.34 | $0.317 | $43.81 | May 31, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 28.72K | $0.323 | $9.28K | May 31, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 922.22 | $0.272 | $250.84 | May 31, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes | sell | 7.69K | $0.007 | $53.85 | May 23, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 30.76K | $0.030 | $926.25 | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | sell | 14.81K | $0.969 | $14.35K | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 7.26K | $0.340 | $2.47K | May 18, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.330 | $380 | May 18, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.350 | $420 | May 18, 2026 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes | buy | 7.69K | $0.013 | $100 | May 18, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 30.76K | $0.065 | $2K | May 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 34.48K | $0.280 | $9.65K | May 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 34.48K | $0.290 | $10K | May 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | buy | 25.14K | $0.080 | $2.01K | May 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.93K | $0.130 | $10K | May 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | buy | 27.19K | $0.072 | $1.97K | May 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 171.69K | $0.203 | $34.87K | May 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 137.49K | $0.190 | $26.15K | May 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 34.2K | $0.200 | $6.84K | May 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | buy | 32.82K | $0.172 | $5.65K | Apr 28, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4.5K | $0.313 | $1.41K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 33K | $0.043 | $1.41K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 9.43K | $0.322 | $3.04K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 28.61K | $0.070 | $2K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 13.74K | $0.074 | $1.02K | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.09K | $0.647 | $2K | Apr 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 24.71K | $0.090 | $2.22K | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 1.97 | $0.190 | $0.37 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No | buy | 7.28K | $0.083 | $605.56 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No | buy | 5.9K | $0.331 | $1.95K | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No | buy | 2.16K | $0.138 | $297.87 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 18.78K | $0.155 | $2.91K | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No | buy | 3.5K | $0.075 | $261.77 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.27K | $0.181 | $229.72 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Backpack launch a token on March 23?No | sell | 11.69K | $0.019 | $218.35 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 52.09K | $0.090 | $4.69K | Mar 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 9.98K | $0.100 | $998 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 18.78K | $0.266 | $5K | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Backpack launch a token on March 23?No | buy | 11.68K | $0.031 | $358.68 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?No | buy | 21.45K | $0.027 | $570.69 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 52.7K | $0.110 | $5.8K | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Kraken be accused of insider trading?Yes | buy | 21.18K | $0.009 | $200 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Gemini be accused of insider trading?Yes | buy | 11.85K | $0.017 | $200 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?No | buy | 17.96K | $0.558 | $10.02K | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.7K | $0.190 | $10.01K | Feb 23, 2026 |