Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.060 | $100.83 | +$90.83 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes | sell | 61.55 | $0.860 | $52.93 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 41.59 |
| $0.240 |
| $6.03 |
| -$3.97 |
 Anthropic acquired before 2027? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.090 | $3.39 | -$6.61 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.180 | $1.94 | -$0.06 |
 Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | Yes | 10.6 | $0.094 | $0.55 | -$0.45 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 175.79 | $0.045 | $0.09 | -$7.91 |
| buy |
| 10.42 |
| $0.480 |
| $5 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.040 | $3 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 386.73 | $0.013 | $5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 130.82 | $0.038 | $5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 116 | $0.043 | $5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 312.82 | $0.032 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 529 | $0.019 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 124.83 | $0.080 | $10 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 57.26 | $0.175 | $10 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?Yes | buy | 39.23 | $0.025 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.178 | $35.61 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 175.79 | $0.046 | $8 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.045 | $17.96 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 78.68 | $0.127 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 79.31 | $0.101 | $8 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.100 | $8 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.039 | $7.8 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.077 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?Yes | sell | 550.85 | $0.036 | $19.98 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.025 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?Yes | buy | 550.86 | $0.018 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 173.92 | $0.057 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 471.65 | $0.021 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 153.67 | $0.065 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.054 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?No | buy | 132.07 | $0.029 | $3.83 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.044 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.6 | $0.094 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 378.42 | $0.003 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Sirāt win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 192.79 | $0.026 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes | buy | 61.56 | $0.162 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 41.59 | $0.240 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 192.07 | $0.104 | $20 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.025 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 737.78 | $0.138 | $101.67 | Feb 23, 2026 |