Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No | sell | 18.49 | $0.877 | $16.21 | May 17, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 16.98 |
| $0.960 |
| $16.3 |
| May 17, 2026 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.580 | $7.25 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than or equal to -0.4%?No | sell | 5 | $0.987 | $4.94 | May 17, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | May 17, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | May 17, 2026 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | sell | 4.68 | $0.630 | $2.95 | May 17, 2026 |
| New Half-Life game by June 30?No | sell | 4.14 | $0.500 | $2.07 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | May 17, 2026 |
 Ebola case in the US by June 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by May 31?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.120 | $0.96 | May 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.080 | $0.48 | May 17, 2026 |
 DOJ releases Biden ghostwriter tapes by May 31?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.770 | $0.81 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?Yes | sell | 6.41 | $0.996 | $6.38 | May 17, 2026 |
| Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 31?Yes | buy | 9.99 | $0.972 | $9.71 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | May 17, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | May 17, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | May 17, 2026 |
| Ebola case in the US by June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 58.3 | $0.968 | $56.43 | May 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4PM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Harris English win the 2026 PGA Championship?No | sell | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | May 16, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.8 | $0.870 | $3.31 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 11 | $0.968 | $10.65 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 5 | $0.968 | $4.84 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | May 16, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by May 31?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.140 | $1.12 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.031 | $1.02 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.001 | $1.01 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.999 | $4.99 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 16?No | buy | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 16?No | buy | 5 | $0.984 | $4.92 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.991 | $4.96 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?Yes | buy | 4.99 | $0.895 | $4.47 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.886 | $22.15 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?No | sell | 5 | $0.332 | $1.66 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?No | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.498 | $3.98 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | May 16, 2026 |
 Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?No | sell | 18 | $0.910 | $16.38 | May 16, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?Yes | sell | 16.01 | $0.997 | $15.96 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.955 | $16.24 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | May 16, 2026 |