Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 208.46 | $0.040 | $8.34 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 842.85 |
| $0.090 |
| $75.86 |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by August 31?Yes | sell | 2.04K | $0.035 | $71.41 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | sell | 2.22K | $0.060 | $133.33 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes | sell | 2.06K | $0.119 | $244.85 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 2.66K | $0.100 | $265.99 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.090 | $200 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 999.4 | $0.090 | $90 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.04K | $0.049 | $100 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.110 | $100 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.048 | $50 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | sell | 8.25K | $0.004 | $29.26 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 4.23K | $0.012 | $50 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.11K | $0.034 | $105 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 4.02K | $0.010 | $40 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.160 | $200 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes | buy | 2.06K | $0.170 | $350 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.16K | $0.018 | $75 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 642.86 | $0.140 | $90 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.01K | $0.010 | $20 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.008 | $11 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 208.46 | $0.130 | $27 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 68.28 | $0.500 | $34.14 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.07K | $0.160 | $171.03 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.79K | $0.210 | $586.28 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 8.36K | $0.160 | $1.34K | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.76K | $0.170 | $300 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.79K | $0.279 | $500 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.290 | $300 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 2.71K | $0.020 | $54.29 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 4.6K | $0.011 | $50.65 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.110 | $220.06 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by July 31?Yes | sell | 13.5K | $0.028 | $371.51 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.6K | $0.096 | $440 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.100 | $500 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Yes | sell | 1.94K | $0.090 | $174.46 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 3.75K | $0.080 | $300 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Yes | sell | 2.31K | $0.102 | $235.15 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | sell | 977.77 | $0.071 | $69.55 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.100 | $500 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.55K | $0.049 | $125 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Yes | buy | 2.7K | $0.037 | $100 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | buy | 977.78 | $0.090 | $88 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.75K | $0.080 | $300 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Yes | sell | 1.6K | $0.050 | $80.01 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Yes | buy | 234.29 | $0.140 | $32.8 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Yes | buy | 719.97 | $0.050 | $36 | Jul 20, 2026 |