Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 71.93 | $0.540 | $58.63 | +$19.78 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 186.76 | $0.212 | $39.59 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 55.44 |
| $0.710 |
| $47.96 |
| +$8.59 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 83.16 | $0.471 | $46.57 | +$7.41 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 54.28 | $0.806 | $45.87 | +$2.11 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 87.05 | $0.454 | $43.74 | +$4.22 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 52.47 | $0.740 | $43.29 | +$4.46 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 49.74 | $0.780 | $42.15 | +$3.33 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 52.91 | $0.740 | $41.51 | +$2.36 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 53.55 | $0.732 | $39.9 | +$0.71 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 46.2 | $0.854 | $39.73 | +$0.29 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 40.66 | $0.967 | $39.72 | +$0.41 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 54.16 | $0.730 | $38.72 | -$0.81 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 44.14 | $0.880 | $38.62 | -$0.22 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 65.37 | $0.600 | $38.54 | -$0.7 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 42.93 | $0.890 | $37.13 | -$1.07 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 39.03 | $0.941 | $36.98 | +$0.25 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 65.24 | $0.643 | $35 | -$6.96 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 65.91 | $0.620 | $34.6 | -$6.26 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 35.18 | $0.750 | $26.91 | +$0.53 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 17 | $0.660 | $16.41 | +$5.19 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 6.7 | $0.820 | $5.73 | +$0.23 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.850 |
| $8.5 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 27.09 | $0.934 | $25.3 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 198.47 | $0.202 | $40.09 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 48.69 | $0.777 | $37.85 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No | sell | 39.06 | $0.600 | $23.44 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?Yes | sell | 109.38 | $0.300 | $32.81 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 25.42 | $0.360 | $9.15 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.230 | $8.05 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 395.64 | $0.090 | $35.61 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 170.25 | $0.200 | $34.05 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No | sell | 46.29 | $0.954 | $44.16 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.130 | $19.5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No | buy | 59.99 | $0.710 | $42.59 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 282.13 | $0.233 | $65.74 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 91.2 | $0.477 | $43.52 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.650 | $45.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | buy | 168.33 | $0.140 | $23.57 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 170 | $0.150 | $25.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 63.84 | $0.650 | $41.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 336.62 | $0.110 | $37.03 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 170 | $0.270 | $45.9 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 223.67 | $0.400 | $89.47 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 282.13 | $0.161 | $45.42 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 75.72 | $0.600 | $45.43 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 189.62 | $0.240 | $45.51 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.400 | $52 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 55 | $0.790 | $43.45 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 54.89 | $0.790 | $43.36 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 155 | $0.270 | $41.85 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 79.69 | $0.550 | $43.83 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 403.16 | $0.110 | $44.35 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 295.55 | $0.130 | $38.42 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 26.37 | $0.597 | $15.74 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.98 | $0.596 | $7.74 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 35.65 | $0.595 | $21.21 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 81.02 | $0.560 | $45.37 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 119 | $0.200 | $23.8 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?No | buy | 17.12 | $0.340 | $5.82 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 84.48 | $0.430 | $36.33 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Yes | buy | 56.69 | $0.274 | $15.53 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.268 | $26.8 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Yes | buy | 13.31 | $0.267 | $3.55 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 88.17 | $0.600 | $52.9 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 58.25 | $0.370 | $21.55 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.360 | $2.43 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.390 | $15.6 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.290 | $29 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.640 | $32 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.640 | $38.4 | Jul 22, 2026 |