Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 15.53K | $0.901 | $15.28K | +$1.29K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.226 | $135.35 | 4d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 6.25K |
| $0.824 |
| $5.47K |
| +$316.39 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 18.97K | $0.059 | $2.25K | +$1.12K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 2.08K | $0.240 | $426.06 | -$73.34 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.99K | $0.339 | $287.31 | -$386.15 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1K | $0.180 | $73 | -$107 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 750 | $0.040 | $49.13 | +$19.13 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.48K | $0.033 | $39.19 | -$10.25 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1K | $0.032 | $34.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1K | $0.007 | $30 | +$23 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 500 | $0.018 | $13 | +$4 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.020 | $11.88 | -$12.88 |
 Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1K | $0.006 | $5.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 500 | $0.008 | $1.75 | -$2.25 |
 Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1K | $0.007 | $1.5 | -$5.5 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 250 | $0.043 | $1.38 | -$9.38 |
 Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1K | $0.006 | $0.5 | -$5.5 |
| buy |
| 678.35 |
| $0.267 |
| $181.05 |
| 8d ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.094 | $150 | 25d ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.089 | $178 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.079 | $79 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.079 | $78.98 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.946 | $1.42K | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 214 | $0.044 | $9.42 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 535 | $0.044 | $23.54 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.99K | $0.262 | $520.2 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.830 | $622.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.830 | $1.66K | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Seahawks vs. PatriotsSeahawks | buy | 250 | $0.690 | $172.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.030 | $36.44 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.725 | $579.61 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.880 | $792 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 780.55 | $0.700 | $546.38 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 500 | $0.700 | $350 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.679 | $679.49 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.780 | $780 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.032 | $32 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 341.39 | $0.790 | $269.7 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 171 | $0.780 | $133.38 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?No | buy | 197 | $0.742 | $146.18 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?No | sell | 437.71 | $0.983 | $430.27 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?No | sell | 350 | $0.823 | $287.99 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?No | buy | 417.48 | $0.786 | $328.3 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?No | sell | 400 | $0.831 | $332.45 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?No | buy | 2.39K | $0.970 | $2.32K | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.870 | $1.31K | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | buy | 4.12K | $0.970 | $4K | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.710 | $1K | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Bills vs. DolphinsBills | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.938 | $1.13K | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?No | buy | 13.6 | $0.934 | $12.7 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?No | buy | 477.1 | $0.846 | $403.43 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.950 | $1.43K | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.130 | $65 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | sell | 63.45 | $0.080 | $5.08 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | sell | 185 | $0.096 | $17.81 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | sell | 193.55 | $0.131 | $25.36 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 250 | $0.790 | $197.5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 750 | $0.790 | $592.5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | sell | 558 | $0.072 | $40.34 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 27.14 | $0.610 | $16.56 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?No | buy | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?Yes | buy | 734 | $0.856 | $628.18 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 504.69 | $0.140 | $70.66 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.131 | $144.43 | Nov 4, 2025 |