Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 57.67 | $0.245 | $12.98 | -$1.18 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 5d ago |
 |
| No |
| 9.37 |
| $0.731 |
| $7.92 |
| +$1.07 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 7.1 | $0.810 | $6.83 | +$1.08 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 45.25 | $0.175 | $4.03 | -$3.89 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 4.81 | $0.623 | $3.39 | +$0.39 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.28 | $0.610 | $3.07 | +$1.07 |
 Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 3.1 | $0.966 | $3.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $2.65 | +$1.65 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 3.58 | $0.838 | $2.59 | -$0.41 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Yes | 36.4 | $0.165 | $2.55 | -$3.45 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 7.65 | $0.392 | $2.41 | -$0.59 |
 Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 2.27 | $0.970 | $2.21 | +$0.01 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | Yes | 15.21 | $0.395 | $2.21 | -$3.79 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 7.42 | $0.270 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | Yes | 2.3 | $0.870 | $1.92 | -$0.08 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | Yes | 5.14 | $0.389 | $1.5 | -$0.5 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.86 | $0.178 | $1.35 | -$1.65 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | Yes | 10.65 | $0.642 | $1.33 | -$5.5 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.028 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | No | 1.61 | $0.620 | $0.96 | -$0.04 |
 Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? | Yes | 9.96 | $0.301 | $0.95 | -$2.05 |
 Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
 Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 1.01 | $0.987 | $0.92 | -$0.08 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | Yes | 3.62 | $0.552 | $0.92 | -$1.08 |
| buy |
| 1.05 |
| $0.950 |
| $1 |
| 5d ago |
 Will Eddie Speir be the FL-16 Republican nominee?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Will Sydney Gruters be the FL-16 Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | 25d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 28d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.528 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Yes | buy | 2.31 | $0.432 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 25%?Yes | buy | 5.35 | $0.187 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?Yes | buy | 4.74 | $0.211 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 83.54 | $0.200 | $16.71 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 299.99 | $0.003 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 203.98 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.777 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?Yes | buy | 1.76 | $0.568 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Todd Blanche be the next Attorney General?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.899 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.547 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.547 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.615 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.492 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |