Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.180 | $0.64 | Dec 10, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 3.57 |
| $0.280 |
| $1 |
| Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31?Yes | sell | 7.02 | $0.150 | $1.05 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.446 | $0.86 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.954 | $0.99 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia declare war by Dec 31?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.03 | $0.142 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Thailand x Cambodia declare war by Dec 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.24 | $0.350 | $0.78 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.24 | $0.450 | $1.01 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | sell | 1.36 | $0.706 | $0.96 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.738 | $1.01 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "AGI" or "Artificial general intelligence" in December?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.210 | $0.91 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "AGI" or "Artificial general intelligence" in December?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 10.41 | $0.130 | $1.35 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Country music" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?Yes | sell | 1.17 | $0.800 | $0.94 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Country music" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?Yes | buy | 1.17 | $0.860 | $1.01 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.850 | $0.93 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.096 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $115-$120 in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.91 | $0.037 | $0.48 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $115-$120 in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.91 | $0.078 | $1.01 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 China x India military clash by December 31?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Mark Carney out as leader of Liberals in 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| China x India military clash by December 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.982 | $1.01 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Mark Carney out as leader of Liberals in 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.028 | $0.88 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 2% and 3%?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.840 | $0.97 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Steve Cohen and Seminole Hard Rock Entertainment receive a license for Metropolitan Park casino in Queens?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.991 | $0.99 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?No | sell | 2.08 | $0.440 | $0.92 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 2% and 3%?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETDown | sell | 2 | $0.490 | $0.98 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Steve Cohen and Seminole Hard Rock Entertainment receive a license for Metropolitan Park casino in Queens?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom"?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.032 | $0.73 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Leavitt say "President" 77+ times during the next White House press briefing?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.020 | $0.14 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.960 | $0.99 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.963 | $0.99 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "President" 77+ times during the next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom"?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom"?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.032 | $0.8 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.190 | $0.86 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo | sell | 1.25 | $0.820 | $1.03 | Dec 1, 2025 |