Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.1K | $0.004 | $7.37 | -$1.05 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.58K | $0.002 | $3.16 | 4d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1.58K |
| $0.002 |
| $2.37 |
| -$0.79 |
| buy |
| 2.1K |
| $0.004 |
| $8.42 |
| 4d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.3K | $0.003 | $24.9 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 145.51 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 737.66 | $0.034 | $25 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 73.99 | $0.024 | $1.78 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will another country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 98.98 | $0.011 | $1.09 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.014 | $17.45 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 653.88 | $0.022 | $14.39 | May 29, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 3.61K | $0.009 | $32.53 | May 29, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.64K | $0.008 | $13.13 | May 29, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 990 | $0.210 | $207.9 | May 22, 2026 |
 Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?Yes | buy | 108.52 | $0.060 | $6.51 | May 21, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?No | buy | 59 | $0.042 | $2.48 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump Insult Xi this week?Yes | buy | 2.08K | $0.008 | $16.66 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump Insult Xi this week?Yes | buy | 642.9 | $0.007 | $4.5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump Insult Xi this week?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.007 | $10 | May 16, 2026 |
 Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?Yes | buy | 123.96 | $0.200 | $24.79 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | May 12, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.050 | $25 | May 8, 2026 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 262.8 | $0.130 | $34.16 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 354.64 | $0.012 | $4.17 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 987.5 | $0.080 | $79 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?Yes | buy | 336.8 | $0.030 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 258.64 | $0.039 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.018 | $20.06 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?Yes | sell | 4.6 | $0.380 | $1.75 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.72K | $0.023 | $39.51 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.72K | $0.029 | $50 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETDown | sell | 11.99 | $0.710 | $8.51 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETUp | buy | 14.41 | $0.060 | $0.86 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETDown | buy | 3.44 | $0.260 | $0.89 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETDown | buy | 2.4 | $0.380 | $0.91 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETDown | buy | 2.34 | $0.390 | $0.91 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETUp | buy | 14.41 | $0.060 | $0.86 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETUp | buy | 7.28 | $0.120 | $0.87 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETUp | buy | 4.42 | $0.200 | $0.88 | Apr 25, 2026 |