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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 37.35 | $0.803 | $32.68 | +$2.68 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | sell | 10.2 | $0.986 | $10.06 | 7d ago |
| No |
| 27.23 |
| $0.918 |
| $26.78 |
| +$1.78 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 24.2 | $0.826 | $21.18 | +$1.18 |
 Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 21.64 | $0.924 | $20.67 | +$0.67 |
 Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 21.6 | $0.926 | $20.58 | +$0.58 |
 Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 21.7 | $0.922 | $20.29 | +$0.29 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | $0 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | No | 21.31 | $0.939 | $19.8 | -$0.2 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.270 | $16.39 | +$1.39 |
 Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate? | Yes | 17.26 | $0.869 | $15.96 | +$0.96 |
 Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 16.58 | $0.905 | $15.71 | +$0.71 |
 EU dissolves before 2027? | No | 15.5 | $0.968 | $15.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 16.73 | $0.896 | $14.81 | -$0.19 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 12.05 | $0.830 | $11.58 | +$1.58 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 11.15 | $0.897 | $10.81 | +$0.81 |
 Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 10.74 | $0.931 | $10.41 | +$0.41 |
 Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 11.01 | $0.908 | $10.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 10.83 | $0.923 | $10.33 | +$0.33 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 10.65 | $0.939 | $10.24 | +$0.24 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 10.52 | $0.951 | $10.21 | +$0.21 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10.18 | +$0.18 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 10.4 | $0.961 | $10.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 10.43 | $0.959 | $10.08 | +$0.08 |
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.250 |
| $5 |
| 7d ago |
| Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 21.7 | $0.922 | $20 | 7d ago |
 Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 33.73 | $0.665 | $22.42 | 7d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | 7d ago |
| Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.908 | $10 | 13d ago |
 Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 11.17 | $0.895 | $10 | 13d ago |
| Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | sell | 10.41 | $0.986 | $10.26 | 13d ago |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 10.2 | $0.989 | $10.09 | 13d ago |
| Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 10.83 | $0.923 | $10 | 13d ago |
| Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 33.74 | $0.593 | $20 | 13d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.92 | $0.956 | $20 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.270 | $15 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.974 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?No | buy | 20.14 | $0.993 | $20 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.942 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.925 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.930 | $4.94 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 10.36 | $0.965 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 16.04 | $0.935 | $15 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Isaac del Toro win the 2026 Tour De France?No | buy | 20.34 | $0.983 | $20 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 10.43 | $0.959 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 117.65 | $0.220 | $25.88 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?No | sell | 6.09 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 24.76 | $0.810 | $20.06 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 21.76 | $0.918 | $19.98 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 21.76 | $0.919 | $20 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 24.77 | $0.807 | $20 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 6.49 | $0.740 | $4.8 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No | buy | 10.52 | $0.951 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.979 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.949 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No | buy | 11.02 | $0.907 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 11.16 | $0.896 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.966 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 10.74 | $0.931 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 15.5 | $0.968 | $15 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 10.65 | $0.939 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No | buy | 10.29 | $0.972 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 11.17 | $0.895 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 12.19 | $0.870 | $10.61 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.958 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 11.15 | $0.897 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |