Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 141.19 | $0.379 | $53.51 | Nov 5, 2024 |
|
| buy |
| 209.33 |
| $0.430 |
| $90.01 |
| Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?Yes | buy | 121.43 | $0.140 | $17 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.020 | $10 | Sep 29, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?Yes | sell | 84.08 | $0.167 | $14.01 | Sep 29, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?Yes | buy | 84.08 | $0.119 | $10 | Sep 25, 2024 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.020 | $10 | Sep 25, 2024 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.021 | $3.06 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Will Trump visit Springfield in September?No | sell | 12.34 | $0.940 | $11.6 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Trump | sell | 55.07 | $0.360 | $19.83 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Trump fires campaign manager?No | sell | 7.36 | $0.790 | $5.81 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Republican | sell | 10.52 | $0.370 | $3.89 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.060 | $3.75 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 10.61 | $0.379 | $4.02 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.260 | $5.91 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Montana US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.250 | $2.78 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.120 | $1.85 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.050 | $1.43 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Trump | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?No | sell | 13.95 | $0.430 | $6 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.420 | $7 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?No | sell | 16.39 | $0.590 | $9.67 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Iran Nuke in 2024?No | sell | 17.04 | $0.870 | $14.82 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.620 | $9.99 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?Yes | sell | 133.5 | $0.318 | $42.4 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Hezbollah enters Israel in September?Yes | sell | 84 | $0.110 | $9.24 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 10.61 | $0.377 | $4 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Montana US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| 2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Trump | buy | 20.59 | $0.340 | $7 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump visit Springfield in September?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| 3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.066 | $1.5 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.420 | $7 | Sep 18, 2024 |
 Caroline Ellison sentenced to 48-59 months in prison?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.085 | $1.5 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Iran Nuke in 2024?No | buy | 17.05 | $0.880 | $15 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Sep 18, 2024 |
 Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.063 | $3 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.280 | $3.5 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 10.53 | $0.380 | $4 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Trump fires campaign manager?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Sep 18, 2024 |
 Will TRUMP reach $1b first?No | sell | 288.73 | $0.910 | $262.74 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?No | buy | 13.95 | $0.430 | $6 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Hezbollah enters Israel in September?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Hezbollah enters Israel in September?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.110 | $3.74 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Sep 18, 2024 |