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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 3.62K | $0.500 | $3.62K | +$1.81K |
 Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | buy | 4.99 | $0.970 | $4.84 | 4h ago |
 |
| No |
| 212.57 |
| $0.950 |
| $210.02 |
| +$8.04 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 276.51 | $0.543 | $181.12 | +$30.98 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 141.52 | $0.508 | $77.13 | +$5.23 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 141.07 | $0.360 | $75.47 | +$24.71 |
 Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 70.2 | $0.987 | $69.96 | +$0.66 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 125.31 | $0.498 | $68.92 | +$6.55 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | No | 180.52 | $0.466 | $67.7 | -$16.42 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 79.17 | $0.570 | $53.44 | +$8.29 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 89.54 | $0.255 | $39.84 | +$16.97 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 101.21 | $0.362 | $32.89 | -$3.75 |
 Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? | Yes | 44.56 | $0.708 | $28.97 | -$2.57 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 76.93 | $0.134 | $23.46 | +$13.15 |
| Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | Yes | 60.18 | $0.241 | $18.05 | +$3.54 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 29.55 | $0.401 | $17.21 | +$5.36 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 31 | $0.468 | $17.05 | +$2.55 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 15.47 | $0.988 | $15.34 | +$0.05 |
 Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 3.89K | $0.003 | $9.72 | -$2.94 |
| Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 9.99 | $0.942 | $9.39 | -$0.03 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 16.73 | $0.275 | $7.95 | +$3.35 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 16.73 | $0.272 | $7.28 | +$2.73 |
 Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | No | 9.94 | $0.740 | $6.51 | -$0.85 |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.62K | $0.500 | $5.43 | -$1.81K |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | No | 5 | $0.800 | $5 | +$1 |
 Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 5 | $0.983 | $4.95 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.650 |
| $3.25 |
| 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | 16h ago |
 Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | sell | 12.37 | $0.760 | $9.4 | 21h ago |
| Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | sell | 4.3 | $0.170 | $0.73 | 22h ago |
| Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | 22h ago |
| Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | 22h ago |
| Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 8.08 | $0.800 | $6.46 | 22h ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.64 | $0.931 | $0.6 | 1d ago |
 Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 5.5 | $0.840 | $4.62 | 2d ago |
 Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.999 | $4.99 | 2d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to Grüne or BSW?Grüne | buy | 4.99 | $0.999 | $4.99 | 2d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Linke Over/Under 12%?Under | buy | 4.99 | $0.970 | $4.84 | 2d ago |
| Will The Left win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.999 | $4.99 | 2d ago |
 Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.999 | $4.99 | 2d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 6%?Over | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | 2d ago |
 Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.970 | $4.84 | 3d ago |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 4.96 | $0.005 | $0.02 | 3d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.410 | $2.04 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 26.02 | $0.410 | $10.67 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20.72 | $0.410 | $8.5 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 20.56 | $0.420 | $8.64 | 5d ago |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 0.14 | $0.003 | $0 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | 5d ago |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.917 | $4.59 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7.38 | $0.904 | $6.67 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 15.57 | $0.410 | $6.38 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.530 | $2.68 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.520 | $5.2 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 5.34 | $0.530 | $2.83 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 5.23 | $0.520 | $2.72 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 9.53 | $0.530 | $5.05 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 5.45 | $0.530 | $2.89 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.520 | $5.2 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 9.79 | $0.530 | $5.19 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 9.5 | $0.520 | $4.94 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 5.04 | $0.520 | $2.62 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 9.81 | $0.530 | $5.2 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 5.43 | $0.520 | $2.82 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 5.13 | $0.520 | $2.67 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 5.09 | $0.520 | $2.65 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 9.6 | $0.530 | $5.09 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 9.63 | $0.520 | $5.01 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 5.34 | $0.530 | $2.83 | 5d ago |