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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 11.5 | $0.440 | $5.46 | +$0.4 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | 9h ago |
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| No |
| 9 |
| $0.520 |
| $5.09 |
| +$0.41 |
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | No | 6.7 | $0.700 | $4.49 | -$0.2 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 8 | $0.580 | $4.44 | -$0.2 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 7.5 | $0.588 | $4.06 | -$0.35 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 5 | $0.720 | $3.73 | +$0.13 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 9 | $0.490 | $3.56 | -$0.86 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 6 | $0.410 | $2.13 | -$0.33 |
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30? | Yes | 5 | $0.590 | $1.7 | -$1.25 |
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | No | 20 | $0.086 | $1.51 | -$0.21 |
Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.570 | $1.44 | -$1.98 |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 19.2 | $0.250 | $0.9 | -$3.9 |
| buy |
| 9 |
| $0.490 |
| $4.41 |
| 16h ago |
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?No | buy | 6.7 | $0.700 | $4.69 | 1d ago |
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?No | buy | 20 | $0.086 | $1.72 | 1d ago |
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | 1d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 9 | $0.520 | $4.68 | 2d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 19.2 | $0.250 | $4.8 | 2d ago |
Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | 2d ago |
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.120 | $0.72 | 2d ago |
Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | 3d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.300 | $2.4 | 4d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.2 | $0.960 | $4.99 | 4d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 August 31-September 6?No | sell | 10 | $0.040 | $0.4 | 5d ago |
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.701 | $3.65 | 6d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8 | $0.580 | $4.64 | 6d ago |
Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 5.75 | $0.560 | $3.22 | 6d ago |
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?No | sell | 13.99 | $0.040 | $0.56 | 7d ago |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.56 | $0.370 | $0.95 | 7d ago |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | sell | 7 | $0.400 | $2.8 | 7d ago |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 1?No | sell | 9.75 | $0.160 | $1.56 | 7d ago |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 1?No | buy | 9.75 | $0.520 | $5.07 | 8d ago |
Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.570 | $3.42 | 9d ago |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.236 | $2.36 | 9d ago |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.588 | $4.41 | 9d ago |
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | 10d ago |
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 10d ago |
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.588 | $4.41 | 11d ago |
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?No | sell | 8 | $0.350 | $2.8 | 11d ago |
Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.41 | $0.150 | $1.41 | 14d ago |
Will Houthis target Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.61 | $0.360 | $2.74 | 15d ago |
Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.06 | $0.730 | $2.23 | 16d ago |
Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | 16d ago |
Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.330 | $2.66 | 16d ago |
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?No | buy | 9 | $0.560 | $5.04 | 17d ago |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.156 | $0.78 | 17d ago |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 7 | $0.670 | $4.69 | 18d ago |
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.464 | $2.39 | 21d ago |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | 21d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?No | buy | 8.25 | $0.640 | $5.28 | 23d ago |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.444 | $2.22 | 23d ago |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?No | sell | 8.5 | $0.340 | $2.89 | 23d ago |
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.480 | $4.9 | 28d ago |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 11?No | sell | 11.4 | $0.870 | $9.92 | 28d ago |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?No | buy | 6.4 | $0.650 | $4.16 | 29d ago |
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 8 | $0.590 | $4.72 | Aug 10, 2026 |
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 7 | $0.380 | $2.66 | Aug 10, 2026 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.720 | $5.04 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?No | buy | 7.3 | $0.700 | $5.11 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?No | buy | 9.5 | $0.540 | $5.13 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?No | sell | 11.75 | $0.070 | $0.82 | Aug 5, 2026 |