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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.630 | $87.5 | +$24.5 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.149 | $0.75 | Jul 19, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 300 |
| $0.380 |
| $24 |
| -$90 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 165 | $0.236 | $23.93 | -$15.03 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 35 | $0.366 | $18.73 | +$5.93 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 25 | $0.180 | $7.63 | +$3.13 |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 10 | $0.630 | $7.05 | +$0.75 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 33.98 | $0.151 | $6.37 | +$1.24 |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.139 | $5.92 | +$4.53 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 9 | $0.140 | $5.63 | +$4.37 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 10 | $0.610 | $5.25 | -$0.85 |
Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 16 | $0.530 | $4.72 | -$3.76 |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.380 | $2.85 | -$0.95 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5 | $0.540 | $2.43 | -$0.28 |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 37.97 | $0.118 | $2.34 | -$2.15 |
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | Yes | 319.97 | $0.172 | $1.76 | -$53.23 |
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 11.2 | $0.368 | $1.11 | -$3.01 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.290 | $1.03 | -$0.43 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 10.01 | $0.130 | $0.9 | -$0.4 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.120 | $0.45 | -$0.75 |
| sell |
| 25 |
| $0.381 |
| $9.53 |
| Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.366 | $9.15 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 35 | $0.399 | $13.97 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 85 | $0.398 | $33.83 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.604 | $6.04 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.440 | $11 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.940 | $14.1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.972 | $9.72 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | sell | 0.56 | $0.023 | $0.01 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.398 | $3.98 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will one person dissent the July Fed decision?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.180 | $4.5 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.039 | $1.01 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.230 | $1.84 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Jul 17, 2026 |
France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Jul 16, 2026 |
France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.318 | $3.18 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.959 | $9.59 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.420 | $42 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.240 | $36 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 50 | $0.579 | $28.95 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.422 | $21.1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 10 | $0.581 | $5.81 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 100 | $0.419 | $41.9 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 50 | $0.419 | $20.95 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Yes | sell | 99.17 | $0.907 | $90 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.223 | $3.35 | Jul 15, 2026 |
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 20.62 | $0.242 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Yes | buy | 99.17 | $0.302 | $30 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 502.64 | $0.014 | $7.04 | Jul 14, 2026 |
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 2.6 | $0.385 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 18.92 | $0.370 | $7 | Jul 14, 2026 |
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 35.4 | $0.565 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 10 | $0.774 | $7.74 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?No | sell | 47.73 | $0.074 | $3.53 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?No | sell | 12.97 | $0.080 | $1.04 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.080 | $0.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?No | sell | 56.56 | $0.190 | $10.75 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Jul 13, 2026 |