Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?No | sell | 4.4 | $0.570 | $2.51 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?No| sell |
| 1.08 |
| $0.680 |
| $0.73 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.940 | $0.98 | Jun 15, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.130 | $0.98 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.690 | $0.83 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 1.36 | $0.560 | $0.76 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.320 | $1.07 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.041 | $0.68 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Jacinda Ardern be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Yes | sell | 47.01 | $0.012 | $0.57 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.240 | $0.89 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.011 | $0.56 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.900 | $1.05 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.730 | $1.3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.770 | $1.05 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.1 | $0.680 | $2.79 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 0.78 | $0.018 | $0.01 | Jun 15, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.86 | $0.050 | $0.04 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.025 | $0.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.45 | $0.060 | $0.03 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 3.69 | $0.990 | $3.65 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Yes | sell | 1.48 | $0.005 | $0.01 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?Yes | sell | 14.13 | $0.020 | $0.28 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | sell | 2.44 | $0.880 | $2.15 | Jun 15, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.21 | $0.965 | $0.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes | sell | 4.25 | $0.210 | $0.89 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.84 | $0.120 | $0.22 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees | sell | 5.87 | $0.520 | $3.05 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.47 | $0.400 | $0.99 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No | sell | 0.97 | $0.998 | $0.97 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.710 | $0.96 | Jun 15, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.89 | $0.770 | $1.46 | Jun 15, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.600 | $0.01 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.610 | $0.01 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.794 | $0.95 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.840 | $0.04 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.520 | $0.01 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.610 | $0.03 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.610 | $0.04 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.610 | $0.03 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.590 | $0.01 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.710 | $0.11 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.710 | $0.09 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.580 | $0.03 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.07 | $0.580 | $0.04 | Jun 14, 2026 |