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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | buy | 56.5 | $0.019 | $1.1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 12 |
| $0.090 |
| $1.08 |
| Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | buy | 51.25 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | buy | 50.83 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 11.67 | $0.090 | $1.05 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.9K | $0.001 | $1.9 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | sell | 2.18 | $0.889 | $1.94 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?No | buy | 640 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.889 | $0.9 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 550 | $0.002 | $1.1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | sell | 1.32 | $0.889 | $1.17 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | sell | 0.26 | $0.889 | $0.23 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.889 | $0.99 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 19.78 | $0.170 | $3.36 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.097 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 33.16 | $0.130 | $4.31 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No | sell | 3.55 | $0.802 | $2.85 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No | buy | 3.55 | $0.845 | $3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No | sell | 3.55 | $0.981 | $3.48 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.940 | $1.25 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | buy | 9.64 | $0.518 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.27 | $0.720 | $5.23 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.475 | $1.07 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.810 | $1.08 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.82 | $0.110 | $2.4 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.05 | $0.760 | $2.32 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 19.09 | $0.110 | $2.1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?No | sell | 2.28K | $0.001 | $2.28 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?No | buy | 895 | $0.002 | $1.79 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No | sell | 2.05 | $0.900 | $1.85 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?No | buy | 550 | $0.002 | $1.1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.975 | $1.17 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?No | buy | 830 | $0.002 | $1.66 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.700 | $0.9 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?No | sell | 16.61 | $0.050 | $0.83 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.680 | $1.3 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes | sell | 4.87 | $0.294 | $1.43 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | buy | 7.31 | $0.219 | $1.6 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | sell | 1.63 | $0.981 | $1.6 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up | sell | 2.5 | $0.300 | $0.75 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.160 | $0.36 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.550 | $3 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |