Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 61.1 | $0.100 | $4.58 | -$1.53 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.530 | $1.15 | Aug 3, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 47.19 |
| $0.051 |
| $1.46 |
| -$0.94 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.340 | $1.26 | -$0.74 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.260 | $1.12 | -$0.88 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.89 | -$0.11 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 2.93 | $0.410 | $0.84 | -$0.37 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 21.54 | $0.065 | $0.83 | -$0.57 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.100 | $0.75 | -$1.25 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 13.7 | $0.073 | $0.66 | -$0.34 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | Yes | 50 | $0.040 | $0.53 | -$1.48 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 2.17 | $0.530 | $0.4 | -$0.75 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 7 | $0.250 | $0.34 | -$1.41 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | Yes | 17.65 | $0.170 | $0.32 | -$2.68 |
| buy |
| 25 |
| $0.080 |
| $2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes | sell | 5.65 | $0.100 | $0.57 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 3.79 | $0.340 | $1.29 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 21.87 | $0.060 | $1.31 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Yes | sell | 3.54 | $0.023 | $0.08 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.300 | $2.1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.073 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes | buy | 5.65 | $0.230 | $1.3 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.93 | $0.410 | $1.2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by July 31?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 5.53 | $0.400 | $2.21 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 47.19 | $0.051 | $2.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.510 | $1.21 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?Yes | sell | 4.55 | $0.490 | $2.23 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 21.88 | $0.080 | $1.75 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 29.13 | $0.103 | $3 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | sell | 56.75 | $0.100 | $5.68 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Yes | buy | 3.54 | $0.480 | $1.7 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.470 | $3.36 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Yes | sell | 1.28 | $0.860 | $1.1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | sell | 1.85 | $0.140 | $0.26 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.530 | $4.3 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.520 | $1.37 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 2.71 | $0.480 | $1.3 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.480 | $2.66 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 10.34 | $0.350 | $3.62 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Yes | sell | 19.12 | $0.100 | $1.91 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Yes | buy | 19.13 | $0.080 | $1.53 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 13.53 | $0.120 | $1.62 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.250 | $1.75 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?Yes | sell | 4.26 | $0.400 | $1.7 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes | sell | 3.75 | $0.520 | $1.95 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.350 | $1.46 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.580 | $6 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 42.58 | $0.270 | $11.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Yemen by July 21?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?Yes | buy | 4.27 | $0.434 | $1.85 | Jul 22, 2026 |