Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Croatia win Eurovision 2024?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.470 | $5.11 | May 7, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 0.83 |
| $0.600 |
| $0.5 |
| Apr 1, 2024 |
 Will 2024 have the hottest March on record?No | buy | 0.85 | $0.590 | $0.5 | Apr 1, 2024 |
 ETH above $3,500 on Mar 29?Yes | buy | 0.6 | $0.500 | $0.3 | Mar 25, 2024 |
 CZ sentenced to prison?No | buy | 0.74 | $0.810 | $0.6 | Mar 25, 2024 |
 US gov shutdown/lapse on Mar 23?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Mar 22, 2024 |
| US gov shutdown/lapse on Mar 23?Yes | buy | 0.77 | $0.650 | $0.5 | Mar 21, 2024 |
 More hostages in Gaza freed before April?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Mar 17, 2024 |
 Kate Middleton video appearance in March?Yes | buy | 0.91 | $0.550 | $0.5 | Mar 15, 2024 |
| More hostages in Gaza freed before April?Yes | buy | 0.79 | $0.630 | $0.5 | Mar 15, 2024 |
 ETH above $4,000 next Friday?Yes | buy | 0.78 | $0.640 | $0.5 | Mar 13, 2024 |
 US inflation >0.4% from Feb to March 2024?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Mar 11, 2024 |
 Will BTC hit $80,000 in March?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Mar 11, 2024 |
| Will BTC hit $80,000 in March?No | buy | 0.48 | $0.620 | $0.3 | Mar 9, 2024 |
 Bitcoin new all time high by Friday?No | buy | 0.95 | $0.630 | $0.6 | Mar 7, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.610 | $0.9 | Mar 7, 2024 |
| CZ sentenced to prison?Yes | buy | 0.48 | $0.630 | $0.3 | Mar 6, 2024 |
| Bitcoin new all time high by Friday?Yes | buy | 0.45 | $0.660 | $0.3 | Mar 6, 2024 |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.42 | $0.720 | $0.3 | Mar 6, 2024 |
+placed+on+a+vibrant+green+arrow+that's+shooting+upwards%2C+symbolizing+the+rapid+growth+and+bullish+tre.webp) Bitcoin all time high in Q1?Yes | buy | 0.43 | $0.690 | $0.3 | Mar 3, 2024 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April?Yes | buy | 0.46 | $0.650 | $0.3 | Mar 3, 2024 |
 More migrant encounters at border in February compared to January?Yes | buy | 0.42 | $0.710 | $0.3 | Mar 3, 2024 |
 Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot?Yes | buy | 0.33 | $0.610 | $0.2 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 Will Circle IPO by June?No | buy | 0.56 | $0.540 | $0.3 | Feb 25, 2024 |
 Will BTC hit $55,000 in February?No | buy | 0.81 | $0.740 | $0.6 | Feb 21, 2024 |
| Will BTC hit $55,000 in February?Yes | buy | 0.51 | $0.590 | $0.3 | Feb 20, 2024 |
 Will ETH hit $3,000 in February?Yes | sell | 0.93 | $0.990 | $0.92 | Feb 20, 2024 |
| Will ETH hit $3,000 in February?Yes | buy | 0.93 | $0.590 | $0.55 | Feb 15, 2024 |
| Will ETH hit $3,000 in February?No | buy | 0.5 | $0.600 | $0.3 | Feb 14, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by May 1?No | buy | 0.76 | $0.660 | $0.5 | Feb 14, 2024 |
 Indonesia Election: Prabowo Subianto wins?Yes | sell | 1.38 | $0.979 | $1.35 | Feb 14, 2024 |
 Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.520 | $0.56 | Feb 12, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Feb 12, 2024 |
| Will ETH hit $2,500 in February?Yes | buy | 0.78 | $0.590 | $0.46 | Feb 7, 2024 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March?Yes | buy | 0.53 | $0.570 | $0.3 | Feb 5, 2024 |
| Indonesia Election: Prabowo Subianto wins?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.910 | $1.14 | Feb 5, 2024 |
 GRAMMYs 2024: Will ‘Midnights’ by Taylor Swift win Album of the Year?Yes | buy | 0.75 | $0.670 | $0.5 | Feb 4, 2024 |
| Will ETH hit $2,500 in February?No | buy | 0.88 | $0.570 | $0.5 | Feb 2, 2024 |
 CZ jail before March?No | buy | 0.82 | $0.610 | $0.5 | Feb 2, 2024 |
| Will Circle IPO by June?Yes | buy | 0.16 | $0.630 | $0.1 | Feb 1, 2024 |
 Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.001 | $0.09 | Jan 31, 2024 |
 Finnish Presidential Election: Will Jussi Halla-aho win?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Jan 28, 2024 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world on January 31?No | buy | 0.38 | $0.790 | $0.3 | Jan 27, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.18 | $0.550 | $0.1 | Jan 27, 2024 |
 Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ Vol. 1 by Feb 9?Yes | buy | 0.19 | $0.780 | $0.15 | Jan 27, 2024 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world on January 31?Yes | buy | 0.6 | $0.840 | $0.5 | Jan 27, 2024 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world on January 31?No | buy | 0.86 | $0.700 | $0.6 | Jan 25, 2024 |
 Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?No | buy | 0.5 | $0.600 | $0.3 | Jan 25, 2024 |
| Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ Vol. 1 by Feb 9?Yes | buy | 0.59 | $0.510 | $0.3 | Jan 25, 2024 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world on January 31?Yes | buy | 0.96 | $0.520 | $0.5 | Jan 24, 2024 |