Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | No | 13.95 | $0.860 | $11.72 | -$0.28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by June 30?No | buy | 7.45 | $0.940 | $7 | May 25, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 11.58 |
| $0.950 |
| $11.36 |
| +$0.36 |
 Deel IPO before 2027? | No | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10.27 | +$0.27 |
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 9.42 | $0.955 | $9.31 | +$0.31 |
 Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? | No | 8.33 | $0.960 | $8.21 | +$0.21 |
 Vanta IPO before 2027? | No | 8.7 | $0.920 | $8.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? | No | 6.86 | $0.875 | $6.32 | +$0.32 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5.92 | +$0.92 |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | No | 4.11 | $0.730 | $3.72 | +$0.72 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.8 | $0.920 | $1.74 | +$0.08 |
| buy |
| 6.86 |
| $0.875 |
| $6 |
| May 25, 2026 |
| Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.960 | $8 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on May 31?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No | buy | 7.87 | $0.890 | $7 | May 25, 2026 |
| Vanta IPO before 2027?No | buy | 8.7 | $0.920 | $8 | May 25, 2026 |
| Deel IPO before 2027?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 11.58 | $0.950 | $11 | May 25, 2026 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 8.37 | $0.956 | $8 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 7.43 | $0.942 | $7 | May 25, 2026 |
 Dota 2: Ivory vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group ANemiga Gaming | buy | 16.96 | $0.940 | $15.94 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWeibo Gaming | buy | 12.41 | $0.880 | $10.92 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 23?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.982 | $11.98 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on April 23?No | buy | 5.34 | $0.930 | $4.97 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on April 23?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 23?No | buy | 21.87 | $0.956 | $20.91 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 54.97 | $0.992 | $54.53 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.989 | $3 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.780 | $3 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.730 | $3 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 29?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?No | buy | 7.22 | $0.970 | $7 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.920 | $1.66 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.896 | $8 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 9.42 | $0.955 | $9 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 7.74 | $0.775 | $6 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.61 | $0.929 | $8 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?No | buy | 17.89 | $0.950 | $17 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027No | buy | 13.95 | $0.860 | $12 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.933 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 54.98 | $0.994 | $54.65 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | buy | 23.02 | $0.955 | $22 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 27?Up | buy | 56.22 | $0.990 | $55.66 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Pathward Financial (CASH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 60.42 | $0.993 | $60 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| buy | 20.08 | $0.996 | $20 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| buy | 20.89 | $0.958 | $20 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on September 20?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Syria by September 30?No | buy | 8.99 | $0.890 | $8 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will South Africa win Intervision 2025?No | buy | 20.12 | $0.994 | $20 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Drake release an album by August 15?No | buy | 8.09 | $0.989 | $8 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.998 | $1.16K | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?No | sell | 3.11K | $0.995 | $3.1K | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 2.05K | $0.998 | $2.05K | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 2.05K | $0.999 | $2.05K | Jun 18, 2025 |