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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.72 | $0.500 | $11.59 | +$4.73 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.260 | $8 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 11.83 |
| $0.670 |
| $11.06 |
| +$3.13 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 9.55 | $0.830 | $9.18 | +$1.26 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 9.43 | $0.840 | $8.91 | +$0.99 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 9.43 | $0.840 | $8.86 | +$0.94 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 10.13 | $0.800 | $8.66 | +$0.56 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 15.07 | $0.540 | $7.61 | -$0.53 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 26.41 | $0.300 | $7.53 | -$0.4 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 11.45 | $0.490 | $6.24 | +$0.63 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.97 | +$0.93 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 10.17 | $0.600 | $5.03 | -$1.07 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 6.57 | $0.760 | $4.66 | -$0.33 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.05 | $0.620 | $2 | +$0.11 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 6 | $0.220 | $1.65 | +$0.33 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 7 | $0.190 | $1.3 | -$0.03 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.13 | $0.610 | $1.18 | -$3.78 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 12.99 | $0.610 | $1.17 | -$6.75 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | No | 7.88 | $0.250 | $0.83 | -$1.14 |
| buy |
| 6.08 |
| $0.240 |
| $1.46 |
| Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of July 13 2026?Yes | buy | 7.4 | $0.350 | $2.59 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $382.50 Week of July 13 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.380 | $2.85 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.280 | $1.89 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No | buy | 7.92 | $0.640 | $5.07 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.93 | $0.510 | $5.07 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No | buy | 7.55 | $0.656 | $4.95 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.380 | $2.85 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.61 | $0.360 | $2.74 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No | buy | 9.13 | $0.480 | $4.38 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No | buy | 7.11 | $0.719 | $5.11 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No | buy | 6.84 | $0.250 | $1.71 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?Down | buy | 7.62 | $0.650 | $4.95 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of July 6 2026?Yes | buy | 13.21 | $0.610 | $8.06 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes | buy | 6.75 | $0.280 | $1.89 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.720 | $4.38 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?Yes | buy | 13.02 | $0.589 | $7.67 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 11.45 | $0.490 | $5.61 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No | buy | 7.89 | $0.630 | $4.97 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.610 | $4.96 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.780 | $4.68 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No | buy | 10.95 | $0.740 | $8.1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 13.22 | $0.600 | $7.93 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.15 | $0.680 | $6.9 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $675M and $750M at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.320 | $2.72 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.620 | $1.89 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?No | buy | 2.72 | $0.740 | $2.01 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.750 | $4.94 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | buy | 8.61 | $0.770 | $6.63 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.600 | $6.1 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.560 | $4.56 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.07 | $0.540 | $8.14 | May 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.210 | $1.47 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.350 | $2.45 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.700 | $5.68 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No | buy | 7.88 | $0.250 | $1.97 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 10.13 | $0.800 | $8.1 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.83 | $0.317 | $2.8 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.300 | $2.94 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.88 | $0.250 | $1.97 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.190 | $1.33 | May 15, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | buy | 8.13 | $0.620 | $5.04 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.280 | $3.01 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 12.7 | $0.630 | $8 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of May 11 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 10.5 | $0.260 | $2.73 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.44 | $0.640 | $9.88 | May 11, 2026 |