Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | Yes | 11.49 | $0.870 | $11.49 | +$1.49 |
 Maduro guilty of all counts? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 7.14 |
| $0.700 |
| $5.71 |
| +$0.71 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5.47 | +$0.47 |
 Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? | No | 4.24 | $0.944 | $4.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | No | 4.02 | $0.870 | $3.64 | +$0.14 |
 Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027? | No | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2.23 | +$0.23 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 2.22 | $0.450 | $2.02 | +$1.02 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 2.56 | $0.390 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.370 | $0.12 | -$0.88 |
| buy |
| 2.22 |
| $0.450 |
| $1 |
| Apr 2, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?No | buy | 4.24 | $0.944 | $4 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No | sell | 4.61 | $0.620 | $2.86 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.29 | $0.490 | $1.61 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.956 | $2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.220 | $0.92 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.999 | $1.05 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?No | buy | 4.89 | $0.920 | $4.5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?No | buy | 4.89 | $0.920 | $4.5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Somalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.910 | $6 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 GPT ads by January 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.640 | $4 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.870 | $3.5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?No | buy | 5.28 | $0.947 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.31 | $0.927 | $4 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No | buy | 4.62 | $0.650 | $3 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Maduro guilty of all counts?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Somalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?No | buy | 4.4 | $0.910 | $4 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.945 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by January 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to no prison time?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?No | buy | 16.32 | $0.919 | $15 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.269 | $0.62 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | sell | 7.36 | $0.962 | $7.08 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.940 | $4 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| GPT ads by December 31?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.710 | $3.7 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Pakistan strike on India by December 31?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 7.78 | $0.900 | $7 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Atlas introduce ads by December 31?No | buy | 9.78 | $0.920 | $9 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.810 | $2.5 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?No | sell | 22.24 | $0.999 | $22.22 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?No | buy | 2.75 | $0.910 | $2.5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 42.5 on November 7 2025?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?No | buy | 22.25 | $0.899 | $20 | Nov 1, 2025 |