Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 65 |
| $0.265 |
| $17.23 |
| Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.190 | $5.94 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will no leader be out in 2025?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.260 | $6.76 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.290 | $16.11 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?No | buy | 191.73 | $0.830 | $159.09 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 9?Yes | sell | 159.25 | $0.999 | $159.09 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 9?Yes | buy | 159.26 | $0.900 | $143.33 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?No | sell | 1.43K | $0.100 | $143.33 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?No | buy | 1.43K | $0.198 | $283.46 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 134.75 | $0.337 | $45.41 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.400 | $150 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Trump ends taxes on tips before August?Yes | sell | 21.88 | $0.874 | $19.12 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.050 | $4 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before August?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.090 | $5.63 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 22.8 | $0.700 | $15.96 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.410 | $18.63 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.080 | $3.64 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 103.77 | $0.250 | $25.94 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 331.25 | $0.100 | $33.13 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?Yes | sell | 999.99 | $0.159 | $159.04 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.056 | $1.18 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.210 | $71.4 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Grok 4 released by December 31?Yes | sell | 98.7 | $0.989 | $97.61 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy before October?Yes | sell | 434.09 | $0.066 | $28.59 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before August?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.240 | $15 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 27?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 30.22 | $0.033 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.003 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.080 | $2.1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?Yes | buy | 43.69 | $0.270 | $11.8 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.260 | $15.6 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 27?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by June 30?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.983 | $30.72 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.172 | $4.3 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | sell | 42.99 | $0.570 | $24.5 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.090 | $9.9 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 26?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 25?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.368 | $8.1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.039 | $0.97 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 50 | $0.426 | $21.3 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.420 | $21 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.293 | $2.93 | Jun 24, 2025 |