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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 423.81 | $0.991 | $423.18 | +$3.18 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100.6 | $0.994 | $100 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 100.6 |
| $0.994 |
| $100 |
| $0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10.14 | +$0.14 |
| buy |
| 423.81 |
| $0.991 |
| $420 |
| Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July?No | buy | 21.02 | $0.999 | $21 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 500.5 | $0.999 | $500 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Yes | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?No | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?No | buy | 200.2 | $0.999 | $200 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?No | buy | 300.3 | $0.999 | $300 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200.6 | $0.997 | $200 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?No | buy | 13.01 | $0.999 | $13 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?No | buy | 501.3 | $0.999 | $500.8 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?No | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 492.96 | $0.994 | $490 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January?No | buy | 2.51 | $0.998 | $2.5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 500.5 | $0.999 | $500 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.999 | $2.3 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.156 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No | buy | 503 | $0.998 | $501.99 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?No | buy | 410 | $0.999 | $409.59 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No | buy | 8 | $0.995 | $7.96 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 70 | $0.998 | $69.86 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?No | buy | 12 | $0.989 | $11.87 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 15 | $0.997 | $14.96 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in September?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 38.11 | $0.997 | $38 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 90 times August 1–August 8?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.999 | $1.8 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?No | buy | 25.08 | $0.997 | $25 | Aug 2, 2025 |