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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 5K | $0.986 | $4.95K | +$20.52 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 200 | $0.966 | $193.2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 3K |
| $0.976 |
| $2.96K |
| +$34.51 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 3K | $0.875 | $2.65K | +$30.01 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.5K | $0.985 | $1.49K | +$15.75 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.5K | $0.989 | $1.49K | +$6.75 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.976 | $1.46K | -$1.25 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 1.5K | $0.853 | $1.45K | +$173.57 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.5K | $0.755 | $1.4K | +$270.21 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.75K | $0.566 | $1.3K | +$313.9 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.936 | $990.49 | +$54.5 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.979 | $983.53 | +$4.51 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 499.99 | $0.971 | $486.49 | +$1 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 500 | $0.834 | $477.5 | +$60.5 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.916 | $473.75 | +$15.75 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 850 | $0.500 | $395.25 | -$29.75 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 300.02 | $0.500 | $160.51 | +$10.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 99.99 | $0.710 | $71.49 | +$0.5 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.400 | $29.5 | -$10.5 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.150 | $2.75 | -$4.75 |
| sell |
| 500 |
| $0.966 |
| $483 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 102 | $0.732 | $74.66 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.200 | $21 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 35.6 | $0.754 | $26.86 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No | buy | 1K | $0.998 | $998 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 2K | $0.998 | $2K | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.996 | $2.49K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.854 | $170.8 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.912 | $45.6 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.995 | $4.98K | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 30 | $0.870 | $26.1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 12.4 | $0.890 | $11.04 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 7?No | buy | 25 | $0.840 | $21 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei visit Russia by June 30?No | buy | 45 | $0.980 | $44.1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 800 | $0.005 | $4 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the second round by 0–10%?No | sell | 250 | $0.999 | $249.75 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.897 | $44.85 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.899 | $89.88 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.986 | $2.47K | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 0–10%?No | buy | 250 | $0.957 | $239.16 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 500 | $0.800 | $400 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.999 | $2.5K | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.965 | $96.5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.974 | $48.7 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?No | sell | 300 | $0.290 | $87.15 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | buy | 400 | $0.969 | $387.6 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.992 | $992 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.994 | $994 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?No | buy | 1K | $0.995 | $995 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.949 | $113.88 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?No | buy | 3K | $0.996 | $2.99K | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?No | buy | 2K | $0.996 | $1.99K | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.954 | $238.5 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 500 | $0.957 | $478.5 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 250 | $0.840 | $210 | Nov 6, 2025 |