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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.060 | $1.88 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 26.66 |
| $0.940 |
| $25.06 |
| Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?No | sell | 54.34 | $0.844 | $45.85 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 65.79 | $0.380 | $25 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?No | sell | 58 | $0.955 | $55.41 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 577.44 | $0.940 | $542.79 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?No | sell | 40.81 | $0.473 | $19.3 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | buy | 197.6 | $0.253 | $50 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?No | sell | 64.34 | $0.670 | $43.11 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Elon apologize to Trump before August?No | sell | 54.67 | $0.977 | $53.39 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | sell | 70.42 | $0.961 | $67.67 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?No | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?No | buy | 58 | $0.862 | $50 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 64.34 | $0.777 | $50 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Anthropic acquired in 2025?No | buy | 53.93 | $0.927 | $50 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?No | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon apologize to Trump before August?No | buy | 54.67 | $0.915 | $50 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 577.44 | $0.866 | $500 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 70.42 | $0.710 | $50 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Australia before July?No | sell | 35.29 | $0.961 | $33.92 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Australia before July?No | buy | 35.29 | $0.850 | $30 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iranian oil in June?No | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | sell | 26.5 | $0.870 | $23.06 | May 24, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?No | sell | 24.09 | $0.971 | $23.4 | May 24, 2025 |
| Anthropic acquired in 2025?No | sell | 56.96 | $0.522 | $29.73 | May 24, 2025 |
 Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?No | sell | 53.76 | $0.963 | $51.77 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Meta buy TikTok?No | sell | 53.76 | $0.980 | $52.68 | May 24, 2025 |
 X and Truth Social merger announced before August?No | sell | 62.43 | $0.960 | $59.94 | May 24, 2025 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?No | sell | 116.27 | $0.876 | $101.84 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine join NATO before July?No | sell | 106.38 | $0.991 | $105.42 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 219.78 | $0.930 | $204.4 | May 24, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?No | sell | 224.71 | $0.975 | $219.15 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?No | sell | 353.33 | $0.974 | $344.14 | May 24, 2025 |
 Google forced to sell Chrome?No | sell | 416.66 | $0.994 | $414.16 | May 24, 2025 |
 China x Philippines military clash by December 31?No | sell | 562 | $0.880 | $494.56 | May 24, 2025 |
| Anthropic acquired in 2025?No | buy | 56.97 | $0.878 | $50 | May 8, 2025 |
 OpenAI social app in 2025?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Apple release a new product line in 2025?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 26.51 | $0.755 | $20 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | May 8, 2025 |
 Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?No | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 128.2 | $0.820 | $105.12 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran in April?No | buy | 120.88 | $0.910 | $110 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | buy | 81.97 | $0.610 | $50 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Obama divorce in 2025?No | sell | 120.48 | $0.880 | $106.02 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Xi visit the US before May?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.950 | $50 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Mar 26, 2025 |