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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.967 | $1.34 | Jan 18, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.95 |
| $0.580 |
| $1.13 |
| Jan 14, 2026 |
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.940 | $0.98 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 1.27 | $0.967 | $1.23 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.921 | $1.17 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will XRP dip to $1.60 in January?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.876 | $1.41 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will XRP dip to $1.60 in January?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.830 | $1.34 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will FC Heidenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?No | sell | 6.74 | $0.998 | $6.73 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will "Eden" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will FC Heidenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.999 | $6.74 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | sell | 1.43 | $0.992 | $1.42 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2025 Extremadura regional election?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.994 | $1.26 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.943 | $1.21 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.984 | $1.26 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.999 | $1.28 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.890 | $1.14 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.977 | $1.4 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 1.57 | $0.981 | $1.54 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 30?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.730 | $1.41 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out in 2025?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.998 | $1.09 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| sell | 1.24 | $0.869 | $1.08 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.950 | $1.22 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by November 30, 2025?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.978 | $1.13 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.966 | $1.45 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out in 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.998 | $1.09 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will no one dissent October Fed decision?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.910 | $1.19 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.971 | $1.13 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.850 | $1.46 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.54 | $0.934 | $1.44 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?No | sell | 1.54 | $0.880 | $1.36 | Sep 25, 2025 |
Will no one dissent October Fed decision?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.890 | $1.17 | Sep 25, 2025 |
Will the Boston Red Sox win the AL East Division?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.879 | $1.46 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 1.43 | $0.997 | $1.43 | Sep 1, 2025 |
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.940 | $1.27 | Aug 16, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.900 | $1.24 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?No | sell | 3.41 | $0.950 | $3.24 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 1.57 | $0.940 | $1.48 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.897 | $1.39 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.997 | $1.13 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.996 | $1.13 | Aug 1, 2025 |
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by July 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.997 | $1.05 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.8 | $0.260 | $0.47 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 25–August 1?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.993 | $1.32 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| buy | 1.24 | $0.846 | $1.05 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?Yes | buy | 1.81 | $0.800 | $1.45 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.890 | $1.23 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Tom Brady and Sydney Sweeney confirmed relationship before August?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.966 | $1.28 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Megaquake before August?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.910 | $1.09 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.950 | $1.43 | Jun 21, 2025 |