Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.22K | $0.206 | $249.19 | -$0.81 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 263.16 | $0.190 | $50 | 23h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 333.33 |
| $0.150 |
| $18.33 |
| -$31.67 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 500 | $0.010 | $2.75 | -$2.25 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.010 |
| $5 |
| 23h ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 952.38 | $0.210 | $200 | 1d ago |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | sell | 47.61 | $0.830 | $39.52 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?Yes | sell | 277.77 | $0.009 | $2.37 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.150 | $50 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.630 | $30 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.180 | $50 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.78 | $0.230 | $7.54 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.360 | $30 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 178.57 | $0.070 | $12.5 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 41.57 | $0.481 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.600 | $50 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.004 | $0.15 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.029 | $1.47 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No | sell | 31.57 | $0.986 | $31.13 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Milei out as President of Argentina in 2025?Yes | buy | 42.37 | $0.118 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?Yes | buy | 212.77 | $0.047 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.030 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in October?Yes | buy | 56.37 | $0.089 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?No | buy | 32.34 | $0.309 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.145 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.031 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No | buy | 31.58 | $0.950 | $30 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 86.51 | $0.347 | $30 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 55.62 | $0.899 | $50 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?Yes | sell | 304.8 | $0.001 | $0.3 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $33m?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $33m and $37m?Yes | buy | 131.31 | $0.152 | $20 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will "The Phoenician Scheme" Opening Weekend Box Office be $7m or more?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will "The Phoenician Scheme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $5m and $7m?Yes | buy | 24.03 | $0.416 | $10 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?Yes | buy | 179.8 | $0.039 | $7 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 25.81 | $0.310 | $8 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza?No | buy | 43.33 | $0.115 | $5 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 231.55 | $0.223 | $51.64 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $20m or more but less than $23m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $26m or more but less than $29m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 157.65 | $0.032 | $5 | May 29, 2025 |