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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?No | buy | 16.09 | $0.720 | $11.58 | Feb 3, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 16.09 |
| $0.670 |
| $10.78 |
| Feb 2, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 8.69 | $0.380 | $3.3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.6 | $0.480 | $10.37 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 16.14 | $0.350 | $5.65 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.45 | $0.350 | $2.61 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.79 | $0.510 | $6.01 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.054 | $0.32 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.059 | $0.35 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.059 | $0.35 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.059 | $0.35 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.059 | $0.35 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?Yes | buy | 22.34 | $0.540 | $12.06 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 14.5 | $0.570 | $8.26 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?Yes | buy | 27.64 | $0.540 | $14.93 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Yes | buy | 43.4 | $0.700 | $30.38 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 34.11 | $0.630 | $21.48 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?Yes | buy | 28.04 | $0.540 | $15.14 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?Yes | buy | 3.87 | $0.540 | $2.09 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 39.59 | $0.850 | $33.65 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Yes | buy | 20.1 | $0.700 | $14.07 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.68 | $0.450 | $4.81 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Yes | buy | 20.1 | $0.700 | $14.07 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Yes | buy | 18.72 | $0.700 | $13.1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Yes | buy | 20.1 | $0.700 | $14.07 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.390 | $3.14 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.960 | $5.76 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.530 | $6.23 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.053 | $0.32 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.053 | $0.32 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.9 | $0.780 | $4.6 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.9 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.9 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.9 | $0.013 | $0.08 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.9 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.9 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.9 | $0.196 | $1.16 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.091 | $1.82 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.008 | $0.16 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.028 | $0.56 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.852 | $17.04 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.005 | $0.1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Dec 13, 2025 |