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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 144.13 | $0.830 | $136.2 | +$16.58 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.052 | $1.04 | 14d ago |
|
| No |
| 29.31 |
| $0.860 |
| $27.88 |
| +$2.67 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.51 | $0.705 | $7.78 | +$1.78 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 7.37 | $0.950 | $7.06 | +$0.06 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | No | 6.67 | $0.900 | $6.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 5.46 | $0.916 | $5.22 | +$0.22 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5.17 | +$0.17 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 4.11 | $0.850 | $3.84 | +$0.35 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.82 | $0.710 | $0.97 | -$1.03 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $0.37 | -$0.63 |
| sell |
| 138.46 |
| $0.930 |
| $128.77 |
| 14d ago |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.900 | $6 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.87 | $0.920 | $4.48 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 8.86 | $0.970 | $8.59 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.88 | $0.820 | $4 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | sell | 4.23 | $0.978 | $4.14 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?No | sell | 2.16 | $0.984 | $2.13 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.35 | $0.995 | $3.33 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 8.86 | $0.959 | $8.5 | May 21, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 7.37 | $0.950 | $7 | May 21, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.65 | $0.981 | $1.62 | May 21, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 14.02 | $0.986 | $13.82 | May 21, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.945 | $4 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 8.75 | $0.950 | $8.31 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 5.25 | $0.950 | $4.99 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 3.19 | $0.994 | $3.17 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 5.08 | $0.996 | $5.06 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 5.11 | $0.999 | $5.1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.35 | $0.937 | $3.14 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.923 | $2 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 5.46 | $0.916 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.850 | $3.49 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by March 31?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.998 | $5.03 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 1.46 | $0.998 | $1.46 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.930 | $1.54 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETUp | sell | 7.07 | $0.220 | $1.56 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 23.5 | $0.860 | $20.21 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETUp | buy | 7 | $0.280 | $1.96 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.977 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.983 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.966 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by March 31?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.979 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 64.11 | $0.891 | $57.12 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.977 | $1.43 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.999 | $1.38 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.993 | $1.35 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 64.12 | $0.896 | $57.45 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 58.8 | $0.977 | $57.45 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.960 | $1.28 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.890 | $1.14 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 23.25 | $0.049 | $1.14 | Feb 11, 2026 |