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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 21.68K | $0.613 | $15.28K | +$2K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 300 | $0.995 | $298.5 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 31.36K |
| $0.485 |
| $13.95K |
| -$1.25K |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 10.92K | $0.966 | $10.87K | +$321.68 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 8.44K | $0.987 | $8.4K | +$68.35 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 5.7K | $0.911 | $5.7K | +$505.41 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | No | 5.66K | $0.958 | $5.5K | +$76.75 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.4K | $0.987 | $4.38K | +$36.87 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7.12K | $0.346 | $3.81K | +$1.34K |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.46K | $0.957 | $2.45K | +$95.85 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 1.6K | $0.980 | $1.58K | +$12.4 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.4K | $0.753 | $1.39K | -$419.99 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 1.04K | $0.630 | $474.91 | -$182.65 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.900 | $366 | +$6 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 600 | $0.473 | $345 | +$61 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 187.06 | $0.946 | $180.23 | +$3.27 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.330 | $132 | +$66 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 200 | $0.520 | $131 | +$27 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 134.98 | $0.741 | $74.24 | -$25.76 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 20.01 | $0.661 | $17.71 | +$4.48 |
 Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? | No | 19.46 | $0.810 | $16.93 | +$1.17 |
 Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.520 | $6.9 | +$1.7 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7.13 | $0.700 | $4.81 | -$0.18 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | No | 3 | $0.950 | $2.98 | +$0.13 |
| sell |
| 19.82K |
| $0.270 |
| $5.35K |
| 5d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.993 | $198.6 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 1.8K | $0.998 | $1.8K | 9d ago |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 9.64 | $0.993 | $9.57 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 901 | $0.990 | $891.99 | 11d ago |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 900 | $0.993 | $893.7 | 11d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.520 | $104 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.05K | $0.983 | $3K | 12d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.966 | $289.77 | 13d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 269.59 | $0.994 | $267.97 | 13d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.480 | $96 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.370 | $1.11K | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.42K | $0.405 | $982.06 | 15d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.420 | $84 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.499 | $99.81 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.250 | $75.02 | 29d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.550 | $110 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 9.41K | $0.580 | $5.46K | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.59K | $0.590 | $2.12K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.339 | $33.87 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.830 | $1.25K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.840 | $840 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No | buy | 15.5 | $0.947 | $14.68 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 206.19 | $0.970 | $200 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 206.19 | $0.970 | $200 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 206.19 | $0.970 | $200 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 309.29 | $0.970 | $300 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 309.37 | $0.970 | $300 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 414.49 | $0.965 | $400 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?No | buy | 1.89K | $0.998 | $1.89K | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 400.8 | $0.998 | $400 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes | buy | 50.76 | $0.985 | $50 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.450 | $450 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.09 | $0.810 | $17.89 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 212.12 | $0.330 | $70 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 701.5 | $0.998 | $700 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.997 | $1.99K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.400 | $80 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.989 | $1.48K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 520 | $0.989 | $514.27 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.22K | $0.995 | $4.2K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 4K | $0.998 | $3.99K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.216 | $172.8 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 431.69 | $0.800 | $345.35 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 42.8 | $0.980 | $41.94 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.728 | $72.84 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.729 | $874.8 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.736 | $588.41 | Jul 25, 2026 |