Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | No | 30.74 | $0.976 | $29.98 | -$0.02 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas vs Vittoria PaganettiFelitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 24.19 |
| $0.620 |
| $19.96 |
| +$4.96 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Yes | 20.39 | $0.981 | $19.89 | -$0.11 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 15.79 | $0.950 | $15.09 | +$0.09 |
 Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.520 | $14.81 | -$5.19 |
 Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.31 | $0.970 | $9.58 | -$0.42 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 6.85 | $0.964 | $6.73 | +$0.13 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 7.05 | $0.710 | $5.25 | +$0.25 |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Yes | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5.16 | +$0.16 |
 Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 5.14 | $0.972 | $5.06 | +$0.06 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 5.88 | $0.850 | $4.74 | -$0.26 |
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | Yes | 5.38 | $0.929 | $4.06 | -$0.94 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.22 | $0.957 | $3.62 | -$1.38 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7.94 | $0.630 | $1.55 | -$3.45 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.1 | $0.913 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? | Yes | 6.13 | $0.326 | $0.73 | -$1.27 |
| buy |
| 5.02 |
| $0.997 |
| $5 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $135 in August?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 8?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No | buy | 30.74 | $0.976 | $30 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.929 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.972 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 15.79 | $0.950 | $15 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | buy | 24.19 | $0.620 | $15 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Maria Herazo vs Denislava Glushkova AND ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas vs Vittoria Paganetti | buy | 3.34 | $0.587 | $1.96 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.22 | $0.957 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.870 | $5.12 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Dota 2: Hive vs Team Syntax (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsTeam Syntax | buy | 4.41 | $0.680 | $3 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | buy | 20.39 | $0.981 | $20 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Yes | buy | 40.44 | $0.989 | $40 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Yes | buy | 40.36 | $0.991 | $40 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 2.25 | $0.445 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.570 | $15 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 16.81 | $0.595 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?No | buy | 19.74 | $0.760 | $15 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 10?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 17.67 | $0.931 | $16.45 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.18 | $0.991 | $20 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 17.67 | $0.849 | $15 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.2 | $0.987 | $15 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 8?Up | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 8?Up | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Yes | buy | 6.13 | $0.326 | $2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Yes | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Yes | buy | 15.37 | $0.976 | $15 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-06-06?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 9?No | buy | 23.05 | $0.998 | $23 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
 Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian OfnerJannik Sinner | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio BuseFrances Tiafoe | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |