Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Yes | 5.35 | $0.074 | $0.13 | -$0.27 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: OtherNo | sell | 52.73 | $0.997 | $52.57 | 11d ago |
|
| buy |
| 52.73 |
| $0.998 |
| $52.62 |
| 12d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 52.68 | $0.996 | $52.47 | 23d ago |
 Will the Bank of Israel cut by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?No | buy | 52.53 | $0.999 | $52.48 | 24d ago |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 78.73 | $0.099 | $7.77 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 52.85 | $0.997 | $52.69 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | buy | 52.7 | $0.999 | $52.65 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?No | buy | 52.69 | $0.991 | $52.22 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?Yes | buy | 52.24 | $0.999 | $52.19 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 52.14 | $0.999 | $52.09 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 52.14 | $0.997 | $51.98 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 52.2 | $0.996 | $51.99 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 52.2 | $0.994 | $51.89 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 52.07 | $0.997 | $51.91 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 52.07 | $0.998 | $51.97 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 52.28 | $0.994 | $51.97 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 52.28 | $0.995 | $52.02 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?Yes | sell | 52.18 | $0.997 | $52.02 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?Yes | buy | 52.18 | $0.998 | $52.08 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No | buy | 23.45 | $0.999 | $23.43 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 25.7 | $0.870 | $22.36 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 9.35 | $0.924 | $8.64 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 14.01 | $0.979 | $13.72 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?No | buy | 8.99 | $0.999 | $8.98 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 11?No | buy | 22.72 | $0.999 | $22.7 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 22.81 | $0.995 | $22.7 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 22.81 | $0.997 | $22.74 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 7?No | buy | 22.75 | $0.999 | $22.73 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 22.77 | $0.998 | $22.72 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 22.77 | $0.999 | $22.75 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 22.82 | $0.997 | $22.75 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 22.83 | $0.995 | $22.72 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No | buy | 22.76 | $0.959 | $21.83 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?Yes | buy | 23.1 | $0.942 | $21.76 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 22.04 | $0.990 | $21.82 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 22.96 | $0.950 | $21.81 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?No | sell | 21.97 | $0.997 | $21.9 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?No | buy | 21.97 | $0.999 | $21.95 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.98 | $0.999 | $21.96 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 22.02 | $0.997 | $21.95 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran Play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 22.13 | $0.992 | $21.95 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 22.41 | $0.980 | $21.96 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 22.43 | $0.980 | $21.98 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 22.7 | $0.969 | $22 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 22.29 | $0.990 | $22.07 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 22.29 | $0.989 | $22.04 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No | buy | 22.24 | $0.988 | $21.97 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?No | buy | 12 | $0.999 | $11.99 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 22.29 | $0.989 | $22.04 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.997 | $21.93 | May 28, 2026 |