Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 27.4 | $0.530 | $24.25 | +$9.73 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 18.06 | $0.987 | $17.83 | 7h ago |
 |
| No |
| 34.7 |
| $0.430 |
| $18.91 |
| +$3.99 |
 Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | No | 16.03 | $0.930 | $16.01 | +$1.1 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.57 | $0.900 | $15.49 | +$0.58 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 15.4 | $0.969 | $15.27 | +$0.35 |
 Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 15.06 | $0.991 | $15.03 | +$0.11 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 59.68 | $0.250 | $8.65 | -$6.27 |
| sell |
| 28.74 |
| $0.650 |
| $18.68 |
| 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 34.7 | $0.430 | $14.92 | 23h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 27.4 | $0.530 | $14.52 | 23h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 72.75 | $0.280 | $20.37 | 23h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.57 | $0.900 | $14.91 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 72.75 | $0.195 | $14.15 | 1d ago |
 Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | buy | 32.76 | $0.212 | $6.94 | 4d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | buy | 28.75 | $0.510 | $14.66 | 11d ago |
 49ers vs. RaidersRaiders | buy | 24.53 | $0.600 | $14.72 | 12d ago |
 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves | buy | 27.64 | $0.530 | $14.65 | 12d ago |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsColorado Rockies | buy | 52.55 | $0.110 | $5.78 | 12d ago |
 Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BTeam Falcons | buy | 19.96 | $0.743 | $14.83 | 12d ago |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals | sell | 6.95 | $0.840 | $5.84 | 12d ago |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals | sell | 0.03 | $0.770 | $0.02 | 12d ago |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 18.83 | $0.987 | $18.59 | 12d ago |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 23.08 | $0.840 | $19.39 | 12d ago |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals | buy | 21.14 | $0.700 | $14.8 | 12d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 15.4 | $0.969 | $14.92 | 13d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.620 | $21.7 | 17d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 213.14 | $0.060 | $12.79 | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 213.14 | $0.070 | $14.92 | 21d ago |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 15 | $0.769 | $11.54 | 23d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.230 | $3.45 | 23d ago |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 15.06 | $0.991 | $14.92 | 23d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?No | buy | 33.06 | $0.440 | $14.54 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 15.03 | $0.993 | $14.92 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?No | buy | 22.33 | $0.660 | $14.74 | 28d ago |
 Will Kai or Speed die to a creeper?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.990 | $11.88 | 29d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 17.34 | $0.860 | $14.91 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.63 | $0.540 | $14.92 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No | buy | 16.03 | $0.930 | $14.91 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | buy | 15.67 | $0.952 | $14.92 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?No | buy | 16.58 | $0.900 | $14.92 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | buy | 17.57 | $0.849 | $14.92 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 33.16 | $0.450 | $14.92 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 66.4 | $0.216 | $14.37 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.85 | $0.710 | $14.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 59.68 | $0.250 | $14.92 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.72 | $0.714 | $14.8 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 17.85 | $0.836 | $14.92 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati RedsCleveland Guardians | buy | 34.67 | $0.420 | $14.56 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20.18 | $0.735 | $14.83 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 23.08 | $0.639 | $14.75 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 0.34 | $0.400 | $0.14 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 2.72 | $0.400 | $1.09 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.410 | $0.04 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 2.98 | $0.420 | $1.25 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 41.44 | $0.360 | $14.92 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 15.46 | $0.965 | $14.92 | Jul 17, 2026 |