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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 22.22 | $0.880 | $19.55 | May 5, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 23.8 |
| $0.870 |
| $20.71 |
| May 5, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 28.57 | $0.690 | $19.71 | May 5, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 25 | $0.840 | $21 | May 5, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 236.13 | $0.619 | $146.14 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 142.65 | $0.961 | $137.09 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 53.84 | $0.711 | $38.26 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 236.13 | $0.847 | $200 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 13.55 | $0.738 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 13.59 | $0.736 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 12.85 | $0.778 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 29.91 | $0.297 | $8.89 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 29.91 | $0.334 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 13.85 | $0.722 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 213.49 | $0.666 | $142.19 | May 4, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | May 4, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | May 4, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.700 | $20 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 186.27 | $0.713 | $132.81 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 142.65 | $0.545 | $77.74 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 64.17 | $0.530 | $34.01 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | sell | 105.53 | $0.467 | $49.25 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.480 | $15 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 32.92 | $0.456 | $15 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 124.24 | $0.805 | $100 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 87.72 | $0.570 | $50 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 17.82 | $0.561 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 62.03 | $0.806 | $50 | May 4, 2026 |
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 213.5 | $0.937 | $200 | May 4, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 14.47 | $0.890 | $12.88 | May 1, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | sell | 18.57 | $0.998 | $18.53 | May 1, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 4.82 | $0.720 | $3.47 | May 1, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 19.3 | $0.570 | $11 | May 1, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | sell | 8.6 | $0.998 | $8.58 | May 1, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?No | sell | 7.14 | $0.480 | $3.43 | May 1, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | buy | 8.59 | $0.931 | $8 | Apr 29, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 8.57 | $0.700 | $6 | Apr 29, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.420 | $3 | Apr 29, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 327.18 | $0.460 | $150.66 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 327.18 | $0.463 | $151.44 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 183.63 | $0.628 | $115.32 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | sell | 160.96 | $0.643 | $103.48 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | sell | 148.64 | $0.710 | $105.53 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 16.69 | $0.599 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 17.92 | $0.558 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.550 | $50 | Apr 9, 2026 |