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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? | Yes | 936.74 | $0.997 | $925.03 | -$8.57 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.971 | $971 | 2d ago |
|
| buy |
| 916.74 |
| $0.997 |
| $913.74 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.993 | $19.86 | 3d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | sell | 3.37K | $0.989 | $3.33K | 4d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.38K | $0.615 | $848.32 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 396.6 | $0.630 | $250.05 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.22K | $0.627 | $766.99 | 11d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.958 | $479.1 | 12d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 316 | $0.800 | $252.8 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.685 | $342.7 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.33K | $0.963 | $3.21K | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.7K | $0.958 | $1.63K | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.956 | $1.43K | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 290.52 | $0.890 | $258.56 | 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.18K | $0.890 | $1.05K | 22d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.650 | $32.5 | 26d ago |
 Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.072 | $1.3 | 28d ago |
 Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | sell | 2.8K | $0.979 | $2.74K | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.975 | $975 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | sell | 579.71 | $0.981 | $568.7 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | sell | 1.02K | $0.982 | $1K | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on August 31?No | sell | 143 | $0.020 | $2.86 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on August 31?No | sell | 93 | $0.030 | $2.79 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on August 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on August 31?No | sell | 70 | $0.040 | $2.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Yes | sell | 162.57 | $0.279 | $45.36 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Anubis Be Removed by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Yes | sell | 54.18 | $0.279 | $15.12 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.992 | $595.45 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.279 | $19.53 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 SPY Opens Up or Down on July 24?Up | buy | 5.99 | $0.990 | $5.93 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.284 | $1.99 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.280 | $28 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Yes | sell | 106.25 | $0.280 | $29.75 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Yes | sell | 224 | $0.036 | $8.06 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?No | sell | 48.37 | $0.570 | $27.57 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Yes | sell | 276 | $0.030 | $8.28 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 21?Down | sell | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 21?Down | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Dow say "Fiscal" 10+ times during earnings call?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.027 | $0.8 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 World Cup Finals: Own Goal Scored?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Yes | sell | 37.17 | $0.340 | $12.64 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 17?Yes | sell | 14.57 | $0.270 | $3.93 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 17?Yes | sell | 8.65 | $0.280 | $2.42 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 16?Yes | sell | 1.18K | $0.376 | $441.77 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 16?Yes | sell | 338 | $0.390 | $131.82 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 16?Yes | sell | 25.6 | $0.400 | $10.24 | Jul 14, 2026 |