Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 43.1 | $0.029 | $1.25 | Jan 21, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.39 |
| $0.997 |
| $1.39 |
| Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.73 | $0.985 | $2.69 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.81 | $0.930 | $2.61 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.79 | $0.985 | $2.75 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 184.75 | $0.570 | $105.26 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 102.24 | $0.997 | $101.93 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 102.23 | $0.998 | $102.03 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 91.64 | $0.998 | $91.46 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 170.59 | $0.017 | $2.9 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 104.61 | $0.999 | $104.51 | Jun 15, 2025 |
Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 104.62 | $0.998 | $104.41 | Jun 15, 2025 |
Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 94.66 | $0.997 | $94.38 | Jun 13, 2025 |
Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 94.67 | $0.998 | $94.48 | Jun 12, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 425–449 times June 6–13?No | buy | 12.94 | $0.998 | $12.91 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 106.95 | $0.999 | $106.84 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 106.96 | $0.999 | $106.85 | Jun 8, 2025 |
Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 109.43 | $0.998 | $109.21 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 109.43 | $0.999 | $109.32 | Jun 3, 2025 |
Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 71.63 | $0.991 | $70.99 | Jun 2, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?No | buy | 10.32 | $0.999 | $10.31 | May 31, 2025 |
Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 71.63 | $0.993 | $71.13 | May 31, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May?No | buy | 19.68 | $0.999 | $19.66 | May 29, 2025 |
Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 102.11 | $0.995 | $101.6 | May 27, 2025 |
Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 102.12 | $0.996 | $101.71 | May 27, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 23–30?No | buy | 8.59 | $0.993 | $8.53 | May 25, 2025 |
Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 100.89 | $0.997 | $100.59 | May 24, 2025 |
Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 100.89 | $0.998 | $100.69 | May 23, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 16–23?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | May 21, 2025 |
Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 108.76 | $0.997 | $108.43 | May 20, 2025 |
Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 108.77 | $0.998 | $108.55 | May 19, 2025 |
Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 13.01 | $0.997 | $12.97 | May 15, 2025 |
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 73.33 | $0.998 | $73.18 | May 15, 2025 |
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 81.35 | $0.992 | $80.7 | May 13, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?Up | buy | 6.54 | $0.998 | $6.53 | May 11, 2025 |
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 81.36 | $0.994 | $80.87 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Finland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 2.57 | $0.991 | $2.55 | May 11, 2025 |
Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 104.01 | $0.998 | $103.8 | May 9, 2025 |
Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 104.01 | $0.999 | $103.91 | May 9, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.19 | $0.978 | $8.01 | May 4, 2025 |
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 38.2 | $0.997 | $38.09 | May 1, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1500 on May 2?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.998 | $1.66 | May 1, 2025 |
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 38.21 | $0.998 | $38.13 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will the PPC win 3 seats in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 13.84 | $0.997 | $13.8 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will the People's party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 52.5 | $0.999 | $52.45 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will the People's party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 52.5 | $0.999 | $52.45 | Apr 19, 2025 |
Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 43.24 | $0.997 | $43.11 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 43.25 | $0.998 | $43.16 | Apr 17, 2025 |
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 40.71 | $0.998 | $40.63 | Apr 17, 2025 |
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 40.71 | $0.999 | $40.67 | Apr 15, 2025 |