Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 72.75 | $0.298 | $12 | -$9.68 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | 24d ago |
| No |
| 60 |
| $0.350 |
| $8.1 |
| -$12.9 |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.690 | $4.75 | -$29.75 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 3.78 | $0.780 | $3.2 | +$0.25 |
Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2No| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.750 |
| $15 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?No | buy | 5 | $0.962 | $4.81 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 78.19 | $0.402 | $31.43 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.780 | $234 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No | buy | 12.56 | $0.640 | $8.04 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.641 | $64.1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.056 | $22.4 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 56.73 | $0.530 | $30.07 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?No | sell | 99.68 | $0.760 | $75.76 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 78.14 | $0.416 | $32.53 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.269 | $80.78 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.660 | $132 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.340 | $34 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on March 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.15 | $0.540 | $7.1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 22?Yes | sell | 119.99 | $0.210 | $25.2 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C or below on March 22?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.953 | $95.31 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?No | buy | 0.05 | $0.460 | $0.02 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 85.5 | $0.390 | $33.35 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?No | sell | 50 | $0.860 | $42.98 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei tweet again on March 19, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.09 | $0.770 | $14.7 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 73.8 | $0.788 | $58.15 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | sell | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C on March 17?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.698 | $34.92 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C on March 17?No | sell | 7.14 | $0.870 | $6.21 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?No | sell | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 17?Yes | sell | 42.41 | $0.370 | $15.69 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 17?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.125 | $6.24 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on March 17?No | sell | 30 | $0.880 | $26.4 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on March 17?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.283 | $14.14 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 46-47°F on March 17?No | sell | 82.95 | $0.736 | $61.09 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?No | sell | 176.36 | $0.675 | $118.99 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 150 | $0.915 | $137.26 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 50 | $0.936 | $46.8 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 50 | $0.936 | $46.8 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will UK strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.830 | $0.01 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?No | sell | 20 | $0.970 | $19.4 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No | sell | 50 | $0.914 | $45.7 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?No | sell | 17.66 | $0.969 | $17.11 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k | sell | 70 | $0.530 | $37.1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 73.59 | $0.908 | $66.84 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 7?No | sell | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | sell | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.510 | $102 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?No | sell | 118.25 | $0.750 | $88.69 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No | sell | 63.48 | $0.170 | $10.79 | Feb 16, 2026 |