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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 18?No | buy | 6.11 | $0.982 | $6 | May 14, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 6.42 |
| $0.988 |
| $6.34 |
| May 14, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $90 on April 20?No | buy | 8.17 | $0.976 | $7.97 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will XRP reach $2.00 in April?No | buy | 4.83 | $0.988 | $4.77 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETDown | buy | 2.26 | $0.430 | $0.97 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$60 in March?No | buy | 9.19 | $0.979 | $9 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on March 5?No | buy | 8.57 | $0.997 | $8.54 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 6, 2026?No | buy | 7.42 | $0.944 | $7 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.977 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 15.22 | $0.920 | $14 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?No | buy | 202.22 | $0.989 | $200 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Meitu- Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Jean-Marc Governatori win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 7.09 | $0.988 | $7 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?No | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 4.31 | $0.932 | $4.02 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will XRP reach $3.10 in October?No | buy | 4.51 | $0.957 | $4.32 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 220 | $0.380 | $83.6 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.86 | $0.853 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.976 | $6 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 185.35 | $0.933 | $172.93 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 185.35 | $0.938 | $173.81 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 187.5 | $0.927 | $173.81 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 187.5 | $0.928 | $174 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 6.22 | $0.690 | $4.29 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 5.77 | $0.693 | $4 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?No | buy | 10.38 | $0.963 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No | buy | 10.15 | $0.985 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 20-26?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.988 | $3 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.950 | $2.4 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by October 31?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.978 | $2.54 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase October 21-27?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.990 | $2.18 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Fuck" again by October 31?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.930 | $3.25 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy by October 31?No | buy | 2.58 | $0.985 | $2.54 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.991 | $2 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be less than 21%?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.970 | $3 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Chubb (CB) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman say "GPT" 7+ times during TBPN appearance on October 10?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will International Business Machines (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.960 | $2.21 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?Yes | buy | 3.02 | $0.993 | $3 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 10?No | buy | 3.29 | $0.976 | $3.21 | Oct 10, 2025 |