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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 1.25K | $0.800 | $1.07K | +$68.74 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 419.55 | $0.940 | $394.52 | 23d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 444.44 |
| $0.450 |
| $122.22 |
| -$77.78 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 419.99 | $0.300 | $54.6 | -$71.4 |
| buy |
| 400 |
| $0.050 |
| $20 |
| Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Yes | sell | 284.08 | $0.076 | $21.47 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 62.11 | $0.160 | $9.94 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 62.11 | $0.161 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No | buy | 845.07 | $0.710 | $600 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.800 | $1K | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 646.73 | $0.986 | $637.46 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?No | buy | 719.81 | $0.139 | $100 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | sell | 448.62 | $0.980 | $439.65 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 419.56 | $0.477 | $200 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 646.74 | $0.773 | $500 | May 7, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | buy | 444.44 | $0.450 | $200 | May 1, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes | buy | 903.67 | $0.885 | $800 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 448.62 | $0.669 | $300 | May 1, 2026 |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Yes | sell | 392.29 | $0.257 | $100.71 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | sell | 632.91 | $0.880 | $556.96 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Yes | buy | 676.37 | $0.148 | $100 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 632.91 | $0.790 | $500 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 1.18K | $0.981 | $1.15K | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime TouchdownYes | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.18K | $0.850 | $1K | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 70.67 | $0.283 | $20 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Yes | buy | 189.27 | $0.528 | $100 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 692.49 | $0.674 | $466.74 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 926.02 | $0.079 | $73.17 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks49ers | buy | 160.04 | $0.269 | $43 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 1.93K | $0.047 | $90.68 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Josh Allen win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?Yes | sell | 1.01K | $0.004 | $4.02 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks49ers | buy | 26.92 | $0.260 | $7 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?Yes | buy | 427.45 | $0.702 | $300 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?Yes | sell | 341.21 | $0.712 | $242.89 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 1.18K | $0.968 | $1.15K | Dec 30, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 50K | $0.002 | $100 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 3.78K | $0.264 | $1K | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 1.93K | $0.052 | $100 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 1.59K | $0.063 | $100 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 926.02 | $0.108 | $100 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.110 | $100 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 692.49 | $0.144 | $100 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 598.8 | $0.167 | $100 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?Yes | buy | 351.39 | $0.285 | $100 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Josh Allen win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.095 | $95.57 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Yes | buy | 2.74K | $0.900 | $2.46K | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 786.08 | $0.961 | $755.42 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.96K | $0.871 | $1.71K | Oct 7, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 117.39 | $0.230 | $27 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.024 | $20 | Sep 15, 2025 |