Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 11.09 | $0.920 | $10.67 | +$0.47 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.08 |
| $0.930 |
| $1 |
| +$0 |
| buy |
| 1.41 |
| $0.982 |
| $1.38 |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.968 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 11.09 | $0.920 | $10.2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.948 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Faustin-Archange Touadéra win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.66 | $0.970 | $1.61 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.972 | $1.23 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.850 | $1.04 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.958 | $9.59 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | May 19, 2025 |
 All New Orleans escapees captured by Friday?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | May 19, 2025 |
 Starmer out before July?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.967 | $2 | May 19, 2025 |
 Macron cocaine use confirmed?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.996 | $3 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | May 19, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13?Up | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% in April?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be 47.0% or higher on April 18?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 X allowed to operate in China before May?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.979 | $1.2 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 ECB increases interest rates after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in NYC be 44°F or higher on March 3?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.970 | $1.1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will Netanyahu meet with MBS before April?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.940 | $1.1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will Zoe Saldaña win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.920 | $1.1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.958 | $3 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Obama divorce in 2025?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before February?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.940 | $1.2 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 U.S. recession before May 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 East coast port strike in January?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on January 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?Yes | sell | 17.12 | $0.040 | $0.68 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI sue Elon Musk before 2025?No | buy | 0.61 | $0.977 | $0.6 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 US bank failure before March?No | buy | 1.97 | $0.610 | $1.2 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven in Q4 2024?No | buy | 0.7 | $0.997 | $0.7 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Who will win the Solheim Cup?USA | buy | 0.32 | $0.940 | $0.3 | Sep 14, 2024 |
 Will Ranil Wickremesinghe win the Sri Lankan presidential election?No | buy | 0.26 | $0.780 | $0.2 | Sep 14, 2024 |
 Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?Yes | buy | 0.95 | $0.740 | $0.7 | Sep 14, 2024 |
 Will Brazil unban X before October?No | buy | 0.57 | $0.870 | $0.5 | Sep 14, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 0.3 | $0.670 | $0.2 | Sep 14, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 0.3 | $0.660 | $0.2 | Sep 14, 2024 |