Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 83.33 | $0.360 | $32.08 | +$2.08 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 49.99 | $0.169 | $8.44 | 22d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 89.99 |
| $0.204 |
| $21.64 |
| +$3.24 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | No | 21.05 | $0.475 | $18.03 | +$8.02 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 29.98 | $0.139 | $17.93 | +$13.76 |
 No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.800 | $17.9 | +$1.9 |
 Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.760 | $17.5 | +$2.3 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 49.99 | $0.169 | $11 | +$2.55 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.01 | $0.734 | $8.46 | +$1.11 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 20 | $0.850 | $8.04 | -$8.96 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 30 | $0.260 | $6.45 | -$1.35 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 918.66 | $0.023 | $5.05 | -$16.07 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 250 | $0.030 | $4.88 | -$2.63 |
 Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 125 | $0.008 | $4.31 | +$3.31 |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | No | 20 | $0.200 | $4.1 | +$0.1 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.226 | $1.69 | -$1.7 |
 José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.180 | $1.39 | -$8.61 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 67.98 | $0.014 | $1.29 | +$0.34 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | OpenAI | 30 | $0.270 | $1.1 | -$7.01 |
 Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 250 | $0.003 | $0.38 | -$0.38 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.200 |
| $4 |
| 22d ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.012 | $6 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 73.68 | $0.204 | $15 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.360 | $30 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 408.66 | $0.037 | $15 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.127 | $3.81 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 652.17 | $0.023 | $15 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 30.63 | $0.653 | $20 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.201 | $2.81 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 67.98 | $0.014 | $0.95 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.530 | $21.2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.300 | $8.82 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.216 | $4.32 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.249 | $17.43 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | buy | 30 | $0.270 | $8.1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.760 | $1.01 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 370 | $0.012 | $4.44 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No | buy | 30 | $0.510 | $15.3 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.844 | $33.76 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.070 | $1.25 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 223.35 | $0.001 | $0.22 | May 23, 2026 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | May 20, 2026 |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?No | buy | 21.43 | $0.700 | $15 | May 20, 2026 |
| Discord IPO before 2027?No | buy | 42.08 | $0.475 | $20 | May 19, 2026 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.390 | $15 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | May 19, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 164.37 | $0.830 | $136.43 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.780 | $11.7 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.834 | $16.68 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | sell | 19.99 | $0.600 | $11.99 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.743 | $7.43 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 39.99 | $0.450 | $18 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 223.35 | $0.009 | $2 | Feb 13, 2026 |