Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 287.5 | $0.080 | $23 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 255.91 |
| $0.043 |
| $11 |
| Jan 8, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.14K | $0.007 | $15 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.120 | $120 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.019 | $28.5 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.108 | $40 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 3.15K | $0.005 | $15.73 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.020 | $10 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 167.61 | $0.019 | $3.18 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.072 | $36 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.012 | $12 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 252.1 | $0.119 | $30 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.065 | $6.18 | Aug 11, 2025 |