Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | 4d ago |
|
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.500 |
| $100 |
| 5d ago |
 Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?Up | sell | 12.19 | $0.730 | $8.9 | 27d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 197.97 | $0.750 | $148.48 | 27d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 109 | $0.550 | $59.95 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 63.28 | $0.969 | $61.32 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 88.98 | $0.420 | $37.37 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.975 | $6.09 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?No | buy | 122.8 | $0.041 | $5 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?No | buy | 24.64 | $0.041 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.690 | $4 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.620 | $4 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No | sell | 8.06 | $0.984 | $7.93 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | sell | 11.9 | $0.990 | $11.78 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?No | sell | 7.24 | $0.999 | $7.23 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | sell | 7.37 | $0.690 | $5.09 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | buy | 7.28 | $0.670 | $4.88 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown | sell | 13.88 | $0.490 | $6.8 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.54 | $0.949 | $0.51 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?Up | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 57.47 | $0.870 | $50 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | sell | 6.06 | $0.270 | $1.64 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 24.59 | $0.570 | $14.02 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown | buy | 2.2 | $0.440 | $0.97 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETDown | sell | 4.72 | $0.190 | $0.9 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETDown | buy | 4.7 | $0.210 | $0.99 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETDown | buy | 12.8 | $0.078 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETDown | sell | 2.82 | $0.500 | $1.41 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETDown | buy | 2.78 | $0.350 | $0.97 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETUp | buy | 1.7 | $0.570 | $0.97 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETDown | sell | 2.9 | $0.520 | $1.51 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETDown | buy | 2.87 | $0.340 | $0.97 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETUp | sell | 4.13 | $0.320 | $1.32 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETUp | buy | 4.1 | $0.240 | $0.98 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 60-79 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.93 | $0.341 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.100 | $0.11 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |